NBA Standings: Updated Finals, Conference and Division Odds

Dec 14, 2018 4:00 PM EST
Credit:

Photo credit: John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Kyle Lowry and Kawhi Leonard

  • The Toronto Raptors were the first team to hit 20 wins, and they are currently at 7-1 to win the 2018-19 NBA title.
  • Read below to see each team's current record, projected record and point differential, along with odds to win the title, conference and division.

It’s hard to believe, but the NBA regular season is past the quarter point.

Where do teams stand? Who has the best — and worst — odds to win the title? What about conference and division odds?

Below are the NBA standings currently, along with projected record (courtesy of FiveThirtyEight), point differential and odds to win the title, conference and division.

Let’s start with the 2019 NBA title.

Jump to: Overall Standings | Western Standings | Eastern Standings | Pacific Division | Southwest Division | Northwest Division | Atlantic Division | Central Division | Southeast Division
 

Current NBA Standings and 2019 Title Odds

  • The Warriors sit second in projected record (58-24) and fifth in point differential (+6.8), but they are still overwhelming favorites to win the title at -155 odds (60.8% implied probability).
  • The Raptors are projected to have the league’s best record at 61-21, which is rewarded with home-court advantage in every playoff series.
  • The Bucks are perhaps the biggest surprise of the year: They have the second-best point differential at +8.2 and are 19/1 to win the title.

Current Western Conference Standings and Odds

  • As expected, the Warriors are also huge favorites to win the West at -250 odds (71.4% implied probability). They sit with a solid +6.6 point differential despite struggling for a couple weeks without Steph Curry, who is now back healthy.
  • The Rockets are the only other team with odds better than 10-1, although they sit at just 13-14 on the year with a disappointing -0.9 point differential. They’ve had some poor injury luck but also have some legitimate concerns to work out, notably their defense, which ranks 25th on the year.
  • LeBron James and his Lakers are tied for third with the Oklahoma City Thunder at 11-1 to win the West. The Thunder actually own the Western Conference’s best point differential, which is a better predictor of future success than raw win-loss totals.

Current Eastern Conference Standings and Odds

  • The Raptors have dominated the league this year to the tune of a 23-7 record, and they boast an excellent +8.6 point differential as well. They’re the only team projected to reach 60 wins, and they’re +185 to win the East.
  • The Celtics started slow but are now up to 17-10 on the year. They currently own the East’s third-highest point differential (+6.9) and second-best odds to win the conference (+230).
  • The 76ers (+360) and Bucks (+450) are the only two other teams below 20-1. The Bucks are actually fourth in odds despite owning a great 18-9 record and the league’s second-best point differential (+8.2).

Current Pacific Division Standings and Odds

  • The defending champs are currently -3500 (97.2% implied probability) to win the Pacific Division. They’re currently projected for 13 more wins than any of the other four teams.
  • Next in line are the Clippers and Lakers, tied at +1600. The Clips have been one of the league’s surprise teams to start the year and sit an impressive 17-11, although they’ve struggled a bit over the past two weeks.

Current Southwest Division Standings and Odds

  • All five teams currently have between 13 and 16 wins, and yet the Rockets are still sizable -140 favorites (58.3% implied probability) to win the division. Despite the 13-14 start, FiveThirtyEight still projects them for 49 wins.
  • No team has a very good point differential, but the Pelicans currently lead the fivesome at +2.0. They’re at nearly 6-1 to win the division.

Current Northwest Division Standings and Odds

  • The NBA’s most loaded division, all five teams are currently projected to reach 40 wins this year.
  • The Thunder, Nuggets, Blazers and Jazz are all between 2-1 and 5-1 to win the division, despite the first two having far superior point differentials.
  • The Thunder and Nuggets are projected for 54 and 53 wins, respectively, so this looks like one of the races that will come down to the wire.

Current Atlantic Division Standings and Odds

  • Three of the Eastern Conference’s four best teams are all in this division, headlined by the Raptors, who are -200 (66.7% implied probability) to win.
  • The Raptors, 76ers and Celtics are all projected to exceed 50 wins, and Boston has the lowest division odds at +390.

Current Central Division Standings and Odds

  • The Bucks, second in the NBA with a stellar +8.2 point differential, are massive -360 favorites (78.3%) to win the division.
  • The Pacers are second with 4-1 odds to win the division, and they did just get star Victor Oladipo back from injury this week.

Current Southeast Division Standings and Odds

  • Easily the league’s most uninspiring division, the Southeast features the Hornets as the current favorite at +120 odds (45.5% implied probability) to win.
  • The Hornets easily have the division’s best point differential; in fact, no other team is even in the positive. The Wizards sit fourth in that regard with a putrid -4.6 mark.
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