Raptors at Nets Odds, Betting Picks & Predictions
- Spread: Raptors -4
- Over/Under: 223.5
- Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
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The Raptors are the NBA's hottest team, current owners of a 15-game win streak. Will they make it 16 against their division rival?
Our experts break it all down and give their favorite bets.
Betting Trend to Know for Raptors-Nets
The Raptors have hit the over in 12-of-15 games — most in the NBA over that span — and would have profited a $100 bettor $849 over that win streak. In two of the games in which the under hit during the streak, the Raptors defense held the opponent to fewer than 100 points.
Raptors-Nets Sharp Report
To likely few's surprise, the public loves the Raptors in this spot — that's what happens when you win 15 games in a row. As of writing, 66% of the bets are on the Raps, who are getting a whopping 84% of the money (find live betting data here).
And yet, the line hasn't budged from opening; it's still at Raptors -3.5. That's because we've tracked two steam moves on the Nets — one at +4 and one at +3. We also tracked a steam move on the Raps at -2.5 when the market first opened, suggesting sharp bettors are hitting the number around -3.5.
Regarding the total, the over is getting 67% of the bets but just 52% of the money. It opened at 224 and ballooned to 225, which is where sharps hit it this morning. It's now down to 223.5.
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Bryan Mears: My Current Over/Under Bet for Raptors-Nets
Don't look now, but the Brooklyn Nets are first in the league over the past two weeks with a +9.1 Net Rating. They held firm against these very Raptors the end of last week, and in their other four recent games beat the Pacers on the road and blew out the Warriors and Suns at home.
Right behind them in Net Rating over the last two weeks, of course, are the Toronto Raptors, who have been dominant, winning 15 straight. Both of these teams have top-10 offenses and defenses over the last two weeks.
The Nets, of course, will absolutely regress. The Pacers win doesn't look too impressive given they're losing to everyone right now, and they've largely been beating up on bad teams. The offense on the whole year remains a bottom-10 unit, whereas the defense has often been pretty solid.
And that's where I'm headed tonight with my angle. Neither of these teams are super fast, ranking in the middle of the league or lower in pace. The Raptors could slow down a bit tonight compared to their recent marks, as Serge Ibaka is questionable to come back from an illness. The other night they played super fast against the Wolves, likely a product of Minnesota but also the Raps playing a lot of smallball with Pascal Siakam, OG Anunoby and Rondae Hollis-Jefferson as the frontcourt options.
The Nets, meanwhile, have actually been pretty slow lately, and on the season they've gotten out in transition 4.1% less with Kyrie Irving off the court. With Spencer Dinwiddie at the helm, they prefer to play slower within the halfcourt.
They've still put up big totals despite that, but I wouldn't expect that to continue against the Raptors defense, which is been great.
And finally, it seems like the under is the sharper side. Per Bet Labs, when a total moves down despite getting the minority of bets, it's been profitable to tail that movement. In division games, it's been even more profitable:
I grabbed the under at 223.5 here and like it to 223.
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Editor’s note: The opinions on this game are from the individual writers and are based on their research, analysis and perspective. They are independent of, and may not always match with, the algorithm-driven Best Bets from Sports Insights.
