It’s the first day of March. You know what that means. A full month of screaming at the TV and sweating straight through your clothes. But hey, we wouldn’t have it any other way. Welcome to the Madness!

After examining all the percentages and line movement for Thursday’s 50-game slate, here are five college basketball bets that professional players are focusing on today. Don’t worry if you’re seeing this a little later: The games featured below start at 7, 8, 9, 10 and 11 p.m. ET.

All data as of 4:30 p.m. ET

Northern Iowa (-2.5) vs. Evansville

7 p.m. ET

The public usually gravitates toward favorites. If an Average Joe is putting his hard-earned cash on the line, he wants to bet on the “better” team. In the rare instances that recreational players favor a dog, it creates great contrarian value for sharp bettors. In this MVC Tournament matchup, more than 50% of bets are on Evansville (17-14), yet the line has moved toward Northern Iowa (15-15). Why? Because smart money likes the favorite to cover. The Panthers are getting less than 50% or bets, but it accounts for 65% of dollars. This smart money has pushed UNI from -1 to -2.5 since opening.

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