Late Night Lookahead: 3 Tuesday Games with Potential Sharp vs. Square Disagreement
Championship week is technically underway, but it really gets going tomorrow afternoon when the first round of the ACC tournament kicks off. Two ACC games in particular, along with one NBA matchup, have some potential to pit sharps and squares against each other on Tuesday.
Georgia Tech vs. Boston College (-2)
12 p.m. ET
Why the public will love BC: The Eagles are a higher seed thanks to their better conference record, and the public has a tendency of putting too much stock into tournament seedings (something to keep in mind later this month). Public bettors might also overreact to BC taking down some impressive opponents this year, namely, Duke, Miami, FSU, and Syracuse. Not to mention that BC beat Georgia Tech, 80-72, when the two teams met a month ago.
Why sharps might like Georgia Tech: BC relied on their home court this season, as they went 14-3 at Conte, but just 2-10 on the road. With the ACC Tourney taking place in Brooklyn, sharps may see the neutral site as an equalizer and take the points.
Wake Forest vs. Syracuse (-4)
7 p.m. ET
Why the public will love Syracuse: On top of being a higher seed (11 vs. 14), Syracuse has a historically powerful basketball name, along with one of the most recognizable coaches in college hoops, something squares weigh heavily in tournament play.
Why sharps might like Wake Forest: Like BC, Syracuse has relied on a their home-court advantage this season. They’re 14-5 at home and just 4-6 on the road, while Wake Forest is a more balanced 7-9 and 3-8, respectively. Sure, those are worse records, but they may be an indication that Wake will perform better on a neutral court.
Philadelphia 76ers (-1.5) at Charlotte Hornets
7 p.m. ET
Why the public will love Philly: The Sixers are hot, having won nine of their last 12 games, while Charlotte has lost three straight. Philly also has a significantly better record than Charlotte (34-28 vs. 28-36), and just beat the Hornets by 11 on Friday. Laying only a point and a half, the Sixers should draw plenty of public money tomorrow night.
Why sharps might like Charlotte: Looking at home and away records, it becomes more clear why this spread is almost non-existent. Charlotte is 18-15 at home, while Philly is 14-18 on the road. Wiseguys will probably make use of their short memories and put Friday’s result aside to take the home side in this one.
Photo: Boston College guard Jerome Robinson (1) and Georgia Tech guard Brandon Alston (4)
Credit: Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports