CBB Betting Market Breakdown, Jan. 29: Unranked Teams Getting Love from Books
Mike Carter-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: A.J. Turner
- The college basketball betting market reveals how sharp and public bettors are playing tonight's slate of games.
- Using The Action Network's public betting data, money/ticket discrepancies and pro systems, we make sense of Tuesday's college hoops matchups.
Welcome to The Action Network’s betting market breakdown for Tuesday night’s college basketball slate.
There are a handful of jump-off-the-card lines tonight with unranked Texas, Nebraska and Alabama all favored over ranked opponents. We’ll dive into the numbers to see why this could be the case.
All betting data comes from our public betting page (ticket count is free, but money percentages are available only to EDGE subscribers). Betting trends are available for free in The Action Network app, while more advanced betting systems are available to Sports Insights subscribers via Bet Labs.
Most Public Bets
As of 3 p.m. ET
- 1. Buffalo -10.5 (81%) vs. Ball State
- 2. Michigan -8.5 (80%) vs. Ohio State
- 3. Maryland -7.5 (80%) vs. Northwestern
- 4. Toledo -2.5 (79%) vs. Miami Ohio
- 5. Tennessee -8.5 (79%) at South Carolina
Not surprisingly, some of the best against-the-spread (ATS) teams in the country are getting heavy public support tonight, including No. 1 Tennessee.
But three of those games — OSU-Michigan, Tennessee-South Carolina and Maryland-Northwestern — are seeing much more balanced money despite the lopsided ticket counts.
Biggest Betting Ticket/Money Discrepancies
We track both betting tickets on a given game and the percentage of money that’s been bet on each side. If there’s a big discrepancy, there’s likely some sharper, larger bets on the opposite side.
Here are the three biggest discrepancies for Tuesday night, as of 3 p.m. ET. This data will change as we get closer to tip-offs.
Arkansas (-7.5) vs. Georgia
- 7 p.m. ET, ESPNU
- 42% of tickets, 81% of money
- 39% difference
Georgia Tech (+11) vs. North Carolina
- 7 p.m. ET, ACC Network
- 29% of tickets, 65% of money
- 36% difference
UNC has moved from -8.5 to -11 despite the heavy money on Georgia Tech.
Northwestern (+7.5) at Maryland
- 7 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1
- 21% of tickets, 56% of money
- 35% difference
EDGE subscribers can get the rest of the biggest ticket/money differences here.
Bet Labs Pro Trend
Over at Bet Labs, we’ve created historically profitable betting systems for every sport. Tonight, we have four games with matches to PRO systems for college basketball, including this one:
Fade The Public in Power 5 Conference Games
This system is pretty simple. When a Power 5 conference team (plus the Big East) is getting fewer than 25% of bets in a league game, bet on that team. It’s produced a 10.9% return on investment (ROI) and covers at a 57% clip since 2005.
This system applies to two games tonight (as of 3 p.m. ET), including Northwestern +7.5 at Michigan.
Unlock the other game, plus three additional contests that match other PRO systems, by signing up for a trial of Bet Labs here.
Sharp Money Indicators
Each day, we’ll highlight one game from our sharp report page that has multiple indicators of sharp action.
Tonight, it’s Texas-Kansas. The unranked Longhorns (11-9) have moved from +1 to -2 against No. 11 Kansas.
We’ve tracked a steam move, reverse line movement and contrarian indicators all on Texas. It’s also detailed in our Tuesday sharp report article.