CBB Sharp Report: Wiseguys Betting Michigan-Illinois, 2 Other Thursday Games
Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Aaron Jordan and Romeo Langford
- Wiseguys are betting three College Basketball games on Thursday night, headlined by Michigan-Illinois (8 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 1).
- Sharps are also getting down on Hofstra-William & Mary (7 p,m. ET) and Penn State-Nebraska (9 p,m. ET on ESPN2).
- Using the tools available at The Action Network, we analyze how the pros are betting each game.
Wiseguys failed to secure reservations in Green Dot City last night, going 2-3 on their Wednesday plays. They’ll look to bounce back tonight by focusing on conference underdogs.
Historically, conference dogs bark the loudest, as the built-in familiarity and rivalry aspects level the playing field and lead to tighter games.
After examining today’s stacked 51-game college basketball slate using the betting tools available at Sports Insights and The Action Network, I’ve identified three games that sharps are targeting on Thursday night, starting at 7, 8 and 9 p.m. ET.
>> All odds as of 3:15 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time college basketball odds and track your bets
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.
Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.
Hofstra @ William & Mary
7 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: William & Mary (moved from +4.5 to +2.5)
Apparently sharps are big fans of old Cameron Diaz movies. There’s something about Mary … and William.
On paper this looks like a huge mismatch, as Hofstra boasts an impressive 13-3 record while William & Mary sits at just 7-9.
This game opened at Hofstra -4.5. Currently 56% of bets are on the road favorite, but 58% of dollars are on the home dog. That smart money discrepancy in favor of William & Mary has dropped the line down to -2.5. Some books are even posting -2.
The Tribe also match a profitable Bet Labs PRO system, Poor ATS vs. Great ATS (55.7% ATS since 2005).
Michigan @ Illinois
8 p.m. ET | Fox Sports 1