CBB Sharp Report: Boise State-Creighton Among 3 Games Attracting Wiseguy Action
Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Creighton Bluejays head coach Greg McDermott
- Sharps are getting down on three Monday college basketball games, headlined by Boise State-Creighton (7;30 p.m. ET).
- Wiseguys are also loading up on Cal Poly-Washington State (9 p.m. ET) and Wyoming-Boston College (9 p.m. ET).
- Using The Action Network's betting tools, we analyze how professionals are betting tonight's college basketball slate.
Average Joes hate betting Unders. Who can blame them? It’s no fun to root for bricks, blocked shots and shot clock violations. Life’s too short to bet unders. And the over always has a chance, right?
No, say the sharps. Wiseguys love unders because they can take advantage of public bias, get inflated lines and place themselves on the side of the house (which always wins).
After analyzing Monday’s massive 36-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed three NCAAB bets that professionals are focusing on, starting at 7:30 p.m. and 9 p.m. ET.
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.
Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.
>> All odds as of 2:00 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time college basketball odds and track your bets.
Boise State vs. Creighton
7:30 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 146.5 to 145)
Sharps and squares are largely on the same page with this Cayman Islands Classic neutral court under.
The total opened at 146.5. Currently 56% of bets are going under, which indicates moderate public support. However, the line has fallen down 145.
Normally, 56% of bets might force oddsmakers to move the juice a cent or two, but not 1.5 points.
We know this movement was caused by an overload of sharp action after Sports Insights’ Bet Signals triggered one steam move and one reverse line move on the under 146.5.
Cal Poly vs. Washington State
9 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 149 to 147.5)
This game isn’t being played at a neutral court, but sharps love it nonetheless.
The line opened at 147. Heavy public betting pushed the total up two points. That’s when wiseguys pounced on the artificially inflated number.
Pros steamed the under four separate times, causing market-wide reverse line movement that dropped the total back down to 147.5.
Wyoming vs. Boston College
9 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 149.5 to 147)
Sharps had their eyes on this Fort Myers neutral court under from the get-go and recreational bettors seems to be tagging along. The under is getting 69% of bets and 85% of dollars, signaling public support but also smart money.
As soon as the books opened the line, wiseguys immediately got down hard on the under 149.5, triggering a pair of steam and reverse line moves across the market.
This overload of smart money immediately dropped the total to 147.