Matt Bush, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Lamar Peters
Big Ten matchups tip-off this weekend with the conference shifting to a 20-game slate, including a top-25 contest between Iowa and Wisconsin. But before that, Mississippi State travels to Dayton for its first true road game this season.
What are the best bets for each game? Let’s break them down.
Betting Odds: Mississippi State (-3.5) at Dayton | Over/Under: 135.5
This game is already sold out, which explains why the line is trending in the Flyers’ favor. Dayton hosts the First Four each season, as it represents one of the better college basketball environments in the country.
The Bulldogs (2-4 against the spread) are not only in for a test via the hostile atmosphere, but the Flyers (3-3 ATS) are also an extremely physical unit. They showcase it on the glass, yielding the 22nd-lowest opponents’ Offensive Rebounding Rate (22.6%).
Mississippi State dealt with a similar foe in Arizona State, though, and the Bulldogs impressed in the second half despite the 5-point loss.
Ben Howland’s group overcame an 18-point first decifict through its stellar defense generating opportunities in transition. Overall, the Bulldogs showcase the 21st-lowest Adjusted Defensive Efficiency in Division I while amassing a 21.3 Opponents’ Turnover Percentage.
The Bulldogs’ evident size advantage should aid them at both ends of the court, especially with 6-foot-11 sophomore Abul Ado expected to suit up. Ado, who owns the 82nd-highest Block Rate (8.5%) in the nation, missed their past two games with an ankle injury.