College Football Sharp Betting Picks (Nov. 30): Oklahoma-Oklahoma State Among 6 Games Drawing Pro Action

College Football Sharp Betting Picks (Nov. 30): Oklahoma-Oklahoma State Among 6 Games Drawing Pro Action article feature image
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Brett Rojo-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Chuba Hubbard

  • Sharp bettors are finding plenty of value on the Rivalry Week slate, and hitting some of the biggest matchups including Ohio State-Michigan and Oklahoma-Oklahoma State.
  • The tools at The Action Network help identify how pros are playing six Saturday games.

Saturday's 45-game slate is sadly the last giant one we'll get this season, but sharps aren't letting it slip by without making their mark. In fact, they've hit the Rivalry Week slate as hard as any throughout the entire season, and have picked out value in some of the most highly anticipated games.

Ohio State-Michigan and Oklahoma-Oklahoma State are both among the six games drawing the most pro action in Week 14.

Ohio State vs. Michigan

12 p.m. ET | FOX

Remember when Michigan opened as a 3.5-point favorite in Game of the Year lines for this matchup? It's hard to believe that was just a few months ago, given that actual openers were released as high as Ohio State -10 on Sunday.

Ohio State has earned the right to be the favorite, and most bettors have been happy to lay the points with the Buckeyes. Sharps, however, made it clear that they thought the opening line was a tad high.

Almost immediately, any books that opened at the key number of 10 were bet down to 9.5, but sharps weren't done there.

According to Sports Insights' Bet Signals, which tracks and records instances of smart money causing market-wide movement, there have been eight such occurrences since this line opened, and five have come at lines inside +10.

Only 31% of bettors have taken the Wolverines, but they've generated 38% of actual money, and oddsmakers have lowered this spread to a consensus of +9, with some down to 8 or even a juiced-up 7.5.

Sharp angle: Michigan (moved from +10 to +9) [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]

Northwestern vs. Illinois

12 p.m. ET | FS1

A much stronger display of a bet-vs.-money discrepancy comes in Northwestern-Illinois, where the Wildcats' 25% backing has accounted for 61% of actual money hitting the point spread.


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Obviously, the majority of money landing on Northwestern means sportsbooks should be rooting for Illinois, but a 61% liability is generally not going to drop a line from +10.5 to +7.5. Instead, that difference between bets and dollars reveals how bigger bettors — ones more likely to be sharps — are approaching the spread, which is probably what oddsmakers are responding to.

Confirming the professional action on the Wildcats, three SI Bet Signals have hit them at lines of +9.5 and +8.5, propelling the line move.

Sharp angle: Northwestern (moved from +10.5 to +7.5) [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]

Wake Forest vs. Syracuse

12:30 p.m. ET | FSN

Given the nearly opposite seasons that these two teams have had (Wake sits at 8-3 overall and 4-3 in conference, Syracuse is 4-7 and 1-6, respectively), the opening spread of Wake -4.5 might have looked a bit low. The public certainly feels that way, as 77% have laid the points with the road team.

But has you might expect, sharps have taken the seemingly ugly side of the fishy line.

The 23% of bettors on Syracuse have been responsible for 48% of actual money being wagered, and 12 SI Bet Signals have revealed instances of sharp moves on the home dog. As a result, this line has come through the semi-key number of +4.

Sharp angle: Syracuse (moved from +4.5 to +3.5) [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]

Oregon State vs. Oregon

4 p.m. ET | Pac-12 Network

Unlike the Wake-Syracuse game, which catches the eye for being a potentially low number, this opening line of Oregon -18 looks like a bit much for rivalry game, especially after the Ducks lost to Arizona State last week.

Seventy-one percent of bets have landed on Oregon State, but the Beavers' line isn't dropping at all. In fact, OSU has gone from +18 up to +19.5, and even up to +20 at a few shops.

Six Bet Signals have been triggered on this point spread, all six of which have hit Oregon, inching this number closer to three touchdowns.

Sharp angle: Oregon (moved from -18 to -19.5) [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]

UL Monroe vs. UL Lafayette

7:30 p.m. ET | ESPNU

This game is one of many that could see an effect from Mother Nature on Saturday, but sharps — and public bettors, for that matter — haven't seemed to mind.

Sixty-nine percent of bettors (accounting for 87% of actual money) have landed on the over, and four coinciding Bet Signals (at lines ranging from 67 to 69) have convinced oddsmakers to increase the total despite a potentially difficult environment for scoring points.

Sharp angle: Over (moved from 67 to 70) [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]

Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State

8 p.m. ET | FOX

This game is shaping up to be almost a mirror image of the other "O vs. O State" matchup on the slate.

Just like Oregon, Oklahoma opened as a seemingly large favorite, and bettors are similarly taking the points in the rivalry matchup. Seventy-one percent, in this case, have taken the Pokes as double-digit dogs, but the spread has increased once again.

Oklahoma has lit up SI's Bet Signals five times at lines of -11.5 and -12, and this line is now within a half-point of two touchdowns as a result.

Sharp angle: Oklahoma (moved from -12 to -13.5) [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]

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