Georgia State at Arkansas State Odds, Pick: Big Bets Moving Spread For Thursday Night College Football
Peter G. Aiken/Getty Images. Pictured: Jonathan Adams Jr. (9).
Georgia State at Arkansas State Betting Odds
|Georgia State Odds||+3.5 (-115) [BET NOW]|
|Arkansas State Odds||-3.5 (+105) [BET NOW]|
|Moneyline||+140/-165 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||72 [BET NOW]|
|Time||7:30 p.m. ET|
Odds as of Thursday evening and via PointsBet, where you can win $125 on a $20 bet if Arkansas State scores a single point tonight.
As you may be aware, the number 3 is a pretty important one in football betting. Given the frequency of field-goal margins in final scores, whether you’re on one side or the other of a three-point spread often makes a world of difference.
That also means it’s a pretty big deal when a spread that wasn’t previously at the key number falls to it. Like what’s happened here.
Arkansas State opened as a 5-point favorite at most books, with the really early openers coming all the way up at -6.5. And while this game has come close to splitting the betting population — 53% have taken Georgia State as of noon ET — this line fell down to 3.5 points entering game day.
And now it’s made another, far more significant, move to to -3 — at least across a good portion of the market.
So why the drop?
According to our public betting percentages, the 53% of bettors on Georgia State have generated a much higher percentage of actual money — 83% as of writing. That means the Panthers are attracting much bigger bets.
And while big bets can technically come from anyone, they’re far more likely to come from those who do this professionally — aka sharps — than your recreational football fans.
Because of that, tonight’s discrepancy, paired with the line move, can be used as a hint toward the sharp side of this spread.