Troy-South Alabama Betting Preview: Will Trojans Ground Game Take Over?

Oct 23, 2018 6:30 PM EDT

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Sawyer Smith and Evan Orth

Troy-South Alabama Betting Odds, Pick

  • Odds: Troy -12.5
  • Over/Under: 55.5
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN2

>> All odds as of 7 a.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time college football odds and track your bets.

Troy travels to South Alabama is a double-digit favorite, looking to keep pace with Appalachian State and Georgia Southern in the Sun Belt East.

The Trojans have turned to a new quarterback in Sawyer Smith after losing starter Kaleb Barker earlier this month. Smith has struggled, completing 23 of 40 passes for 216 yards (for a lowly 5.4 yards per attempt) over the last two games.

But Smith has continued to lead an excellent Troy rushing attack. If you count sacks against passing stats, he has 200 yards on 27 carries this season (7.4 per rush). The Trojans rank 61st in rushing S&P+, and second in rushing explosiveness.

Trends to Know

South Alabama has hit the over in six of seven games this year thanks in large part to a porous defense. Troy is 5-2 to the over.

The under is 42-26-1 in weekday Sun Belt games since 2005. Overall, the under hits in weekday college football games at a 52.5% clip.

Bet to Watch

One of the keys to capping this game is knowing the relationship between South Alabama offensive coordinator Kenny Edenfield and Troy head coach Neal Brown.



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