While Rodgers looked like he finally found the right offseason drug cocktail to flash some of his Packers glory days in Week 1, 71% of his 244 passing yards were after the catch, the highest rate of the week He had the lowest average air yards of the week at 4.3 and did not attempt a single pass 20+ yards downfield. If the Steelers repeat anything close to that approach this week, it will be much tougher for him to clear this prop. Last week Pittsburgh trailed for about 40 minutes, which forced them into a pass heavy game script. As 3-point home favorites here, they should be able to lean on the run more. Seattle should also be very run heavy and eat up time of possession, while their defense should be much better in year two under Mike Macdonald. I would set Rodgers’ median closer to 223.5 yards with a handful of underlying factors pointing to a lower passing yardage outcome.

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