Canadiens vs. Flyers Game 2 Odds & Pick (Friday, August 14): Sell High on the Undefeated Flyers

Credit:

Mark Blinch/NHLI via Getty Images. Pictured: Nick Suzuki.

  • Check out our betting preview for Friday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Montreal Canadiens and Philadelphia Flyers.
  • Despite losing in Game 1, Montreal largely controlled the run of play, but the Flyers' well-roundedness earned Philadelphia the win.
  • Michael Leboff believes these teams are closer than the current odds suggest. Read on to discover why he's still backing the Canadiens as underdogs in Game 2.

Montreal Canadiens vs. Philadelphia Flyers Odds

Canadiens Odds +138 [BET NOW]
Flyers Odds -159 [BET NOW]
Over/Under 5 (-141/ [BET NOW]
Time 3 p.m. ET
TV NBCSN

Odds as of Thursday evening via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.


A loss like the one the Montreal Canadiens suffered on Wednesday night can be frustrating. The Habs closed at +138 and were the better team but came up short. An unlucky loss  like that can embitter bettors. Or it can embolden them.

If you’ve been betting the Habs this season, you’re probably familiar with this script. Montreal generated more expected goals (2.56 to 1.89), created more high-danger scoring chances (13 to 8) and recorded more shot attempts (56 to 45) at 5-on-5, meaning they controlled the run of play. In football terms, you’d say that Montreal won the field-position battle.

The Canadiens made a habit of this during the regular season, driving play but nonetheless losing games. They finished third in the NHL with a 54.1% expected goals rate, but the Habs ranked 13th with a 50.8% goal share.

When Montreal landed in the loss column, it was often due to middling goaltending or poor finishing. It was more of the latter on Wednesday, as Carey Price was solid in goal in Game 1.

Montreal needed Price to stand on his head to beat the Penguins, because Pittsburgh dominated on the shot clock. But, that shouldn’t be the case against Philadelphia, because Montreal posted better possession numbers than the Flyers over the regular season.

That isn’t to say that the Canadiens are the better team in this matchup. The Flyers may not blow you away with talent, but they don’t have any glaring weaknesses either. The Flyers can score, they defend well and their goalie is in good form at the moment. Philadelphia deserves to be favored against the Habs, even if Montreal is better than it appears on the surface.

If you go spot-by-spot, the Flyers have a slight advantage at almost every position. But overall, these two teams are closer than the odds suggest. I’m hopeful that the value on Montreal will increase, since Philadelphia has yet to drop a game in the bubble.

$1,000 Sign-Up Bonus
Full Review
Matched 1st bet up to $500
Deposit bonus up to $500
Action's Preferred Sportsbook

The Flyers’ Game 1 win was less than convincing, but there’s a good chance that the majority of bettors don’t go much further than the final score. Many are happy to take the undefeated Flyers against the lowest seed in the tournament.

Simply put, I think the Canadiens are underrated and the Flyers are overrated. The listed odds for Game 2 (-159/+138) imply that Philadelphia wins this game 59.4% of the time. I’m going to continue selling high on the Flyers and would bet Montreal at +135 or better. And if you’re feeling perky, I don’t hate the idea of backing the Habs at +340 to win the series.

The Pick: Canadiens (+135 or better)

[Bet the Canadiens now at DraftKings and get a $1,000 sign-up bonus. CO, NJ, PA, IN and WV only.]

How would you rate this article?

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
Newsletter
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories