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Premier League Week 38 Betting Preview and Picks

May 13, 2018 9:05 PM EDT

Mark Leech – Offside/Getty Images

The 2017-18 Premier League season is nearly over, and the final 10 matches will all be played simultaneously on Sunday at 10 a.m. ET.

Unfortunately there’s not a whole lot to decide on the last day. Manchester City have easily won the title and will look to hit the 100-point mark for the season against Southampton.


Chelsea could pass Liverpool for fourth place and a Champions League spot, but need the Reds (-500 moneyline) to lose at home to Brighton (+1500).

At the bottom of the table, Swansea City barely have a chance to stave off relegation and need to turn around a nine-goal differential between themselves and Southampton.

Nevertheless, there are some exciting betting opportunities on the slate. Based on our historical data from Bet Labs, bigger underdogs tend to do very well in the month of May when teams are winding down their seasons.

After examining the betting market for every match, I’ve found five value plays (+30.48 units, 29% ROI this season) worth wagering on, including:

  • Arsenal at Huddersfield Town
  • Leicester City at Tottenham
  • Manchester City at Southampton

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