Manchester United-Valencia Betting Preview: Taking Advantage of Turmoil at Old Trafford

Oct 02, 2018 8:20 AM EDT

Betting Odds: Valencia at Manchester United

  • Valencia: +439
  • Manchester United: -135
  • Draw: +275
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (Over -117/Under +102)
  • Kick-off: Tuesday, 3 p.m. ET
  • Channel: Bleacher Report Live

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After losing, 2-0, at home to Juventus, Valencia will desperately need a result at Old Trafford to avoid falling too far behind in Group H. There was a time when a trip to The Theatre of Dreams was a nightmare for visitors, but those days are gone, and Los Che should actually be confident they can come away from Manchester with three points.

There may be no better time to play United than right now as things are turbulent with the prestigious club, and there’s plenty of blame to go around. Manager Jose Mourinho certainly deserves his fair share of criticism for the way things have unraveled at Old Trafford, but the truth is that the problems stem from the top.

After defeating Young Boys in a comprehensive display in their Champions League opener, the Red Devils tied Wolverhampton at home and lost at West Ham United, 3-1. Both results amplified the noise around Mourinho.

The mercurial manager is at odds with his best player, Paul Pogba, and highest-paid player, Alexis Sanchez. It seems that the players (and fans) want to see the Portuguese let go, and the uneasiness has seeped into their game.

Through seven Premier League matches, Manchester United has three wins, three losses and a draw for 10 points. Their expected points suggest that record is a fair reflection on how they’ve performed.

Valencia, too, have struggled out of the gates in their domestic league. Los Che have one win, one loss and five draws for eight points. They have scored five goals and allowed six, although their expected goals suggest they’ve been a bit unfortunate.

According to Understat, Valencia have 10.32 expected points, so they’ve played a little bit better than their record suggests.

Coming off their first win of the season, Valencia will be a confident bunch on Tuesday. The opposite will be true of United. The crowd will be restless, and if Valencia can put pressure on the Red Devils early, look out.

The visitors have a potent enough strike force to do just that, too, as Michy Batshuayi and Kevin Gameiro both bring different skills to the table.

This is a tricky match for United to navigate, and I think there’s plenty of value on Valencia. It’s a bet you lose more often than you win, but the odds on a Valencia win are too good to pass up in this spot.

The Bet: Valencia +439

Credit:

BBC Sport. Pictured: Paul Pogba

Follow Michael J. Leboff on Twitter
@TheBigLeebowski
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