Leicester City vs. Fulham Odds, Picks, Predictions for Monday Premier League (Nov. 30)
Plumb Images/Leicester City FC via Getty Images. Pictured: Leicester City star Jamie Vardy.
- Leicester City is a big favorite over lowly Fulham on Monday as the Premier League caps off its week.
- The Foxes are playing like an elite team, both on the surface and in their underlying metrics, while Fulham can't get anything going on offense and finds itself in 19th and in danger of relegation at the moment.
- Jeremy Pond breaks down his two favorite bets in this match.
Leicester City vs. Fulham Odds
|Leicester City Odds||-195 [BET NOW]|
|Fulham Odds||+525 [BET NOW]|
|Draw||+340 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||2.5 (-137/+110) [BET NOW]|
|Day/Time||Monday, 12:30 p.m. ET|
Clubs sitting at opposite ends of the Premier League table go at it Monday when mighty Leicester City hosts Fulham at King Power Stadium.
The Foxes are hoping to get back on the winning track after being handed a resounding 3-0 loss against Liverpool at Anfield in their last league outing. That defeat meant Leicester City found itself in fourth place after nine fixtures, putting it just three points behind the front-running Reds.
On the other side, Fulham could have not have much of a worse start that it’s currently experiencing in its return to England’s top flight. The Cottagers have lost three of their last four, the most recent coming in a heartbreaking 3-2 setback against Everton.
That defeat kept Fulham on just four points this season, which has it 19th out of 20 teams in the standings.
Let’s take a look at this showdown that closes the weekly EPL slate.
The Foxes, winners of three of their last four league fixtures, are in the early hunt for another league crown. If all plays out as I think it might, they will be right in the thick of things down the stretch with Liverpool, Tottenham Hotspur and other top contenders.
Leicester City has also been impressive in Champions League play, having already secured a berth in the knockout phase. Jamie Vardy played the hero last week when his late equalizer in a 3-3 draw against Portuguese side Braga locked up that coveted spot in the European tournament.
Vardy has been his usual self for the Foxes, racking up a team-best eight goals in league action. The star forward will surely be in the hunt for the league’s Golden Boot if he continues his torrid start.
Leicester City have some decent advanced metrics, as well. The Foxes boast an impressive 15.0 expected goals and average 11.7 expected goals against, resulting in a strong +3.3 xGDiff and +0.36 for xGDiff/90 minutes.
Leicester City’s xGDiff and xGDiff/90 minutes rank fourth overall in the EPL, putting it right behind league leader Liverpool, Tottenham Hotspur and Chelsea.
The Cottagers have really put themselves up against it this season.
Fulham have just one victory thus far, with seven draws and nine losses covering the rest of its league résumé through nine matches. That brutal start has also led to the Cottagers losing 18 of their last 21 league fixtures.
The club’s problems can be found on both ends of the pitch, with its offense generating just nine goals so far. Defensively, things are even more problematic for Fulham. The Cottagers have conceded 18 goals, which is tied for league worst with West Bromwich Albion.
Unlike its counterpart in this fixture, Fulham has some subpar numbers in similar categories. The Cottagers sit on just 10.6 xGs and a disappointing 13.8 expected goals against, yielding a -3.2 xGDiff and -0.36 for xGDiff/90 minutes.
The craziest part in those numbers is the fact Fulham has a better xGA than Liverpool (14.9 xGA), which should tell you the figures can be slightly skewed on some occasions in the overall scope of things.
Betting Analysis & Picks
This match is really setting up for Leicester City to put on a clinic.
The Foxes are simply the better side, featuring distinct advantages across the pitch. I really think Fulham is up against it, which has been the nonstop theme of its brutal campaign.
I’m betting Leicester City giving a goal to its counterpart. I will also play the Foxes to score at least twice via a wager on their team total. There is way too much juice on the spread line, so I taking the number out even further to secure a better price.
Leicester City has scored at least two goals in five of its last six meetings with Fulham across all competitions and I don’t expect anything different on Monday.
Picks: Leicester City -1 (-115) | Leicester City Team Total Over 1.5 Goals (-177)