Boca Juniors (0-1-0) and Bayern Munich (1-0-0) will face off today at 9:00 p.m. EDT at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida.
Bayern is favored at a -500 price, with the over/under set at 3.5 (+105o / -139u) goals.
Let's get into my Boca Juniors vs. Bayern prediction.
Bayern Munich vs Boca Juniors Prediction
Pick: Bayern Munich -0.75 First Half Asian Handicap (-133)
My Bayern Munich vs. Boca Juniors best bet is on Bayern Munich -0.75 First Half Asian Handicap as I see value on the German side to win comfortably.
Bayern Munich vs Boca Juniors Odds
Boca Juniors Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
2.5 -225o / 170u | +1200 |
Bayern Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
2.5 -225o / 170u | -550 |
Bayern Munich vs Boca Juniors Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Bayern Munich -0.75 First Half Asian Handicap (-133)
Leg 2: Bayern Munich -2 Asian Handicap (+100)
Leg 3: Under 3.5 Bayern Goals & Over 2.5 Bayern First Half Corners (+100)
Bayern put 10 past Auckland City in their opener and although Boca Juniors are a far better opponent, there’s still a considerable gap between the Bundesliga champions and the Argentine outfit.
Boca’s aging squad isn’t capable of dealing with Bayern’s deadly front line of quick attackers. Marcos Rojo (35), Rodrigo Battaglia (33), Ander Herrera (35), and Edinson Cavani (38) are far too slow to compete at this level – they are all regulars within Boca’s starting 11.
The Bundesliga champions were in incredible scoring form before they ran into Auckland City. They registered an average of 2.6 goals per game in their past five Bundesliga outings. Kompany’s men also netted an average of 2.21 goals per game in the Champions League, the fourth-best scoring rate in the competition.
Although heavy favorites with the bookmakers, and maybe rightly so, BETSiE projects 'just' 2.38xG for the Germans versus Boca. Considering the Asian Handicap line is set at -2.0, you might have expected a more favorable outcome. Following BETSiE's train of thought, it brings the Under 3.5 Bayern goals selection into play and suggests four goals might be a step too far. The -550 price on Bayern makes them overvalued. They shouldn't be so short on MD2.
Bayern Munich vs Boca Juniors Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
Bayern Munich | Draw | Boca Juniors |
---|---|---|
77.2% | 14.3% | 8.5% |
Projected Total Goals
Bayern Munich | Total Goals | Boca Juniors |
---|---|---|
2.37 | 3.03 | 0.66 |
Bayern Munich vs Boca Juniors Betting Analysis
There wasn't much to learn from Bayern's 10-0 hammering against semi-professional outfit Auckland City aside from the fact that Vincent Kompany is taking this competition incredibly seriously. The match also showed their strength in depth, and if they can keep their best players fit, the Bundesliga champions are a real threat to go all the way in the US.
However, there’s no doubt that they would have been grateful not to have faced Boca in their opening match. Witnessing the Argentine's physical, aggressive nature versus Benfica will see them come into this one slightly more prepared.
Boca was very much in Benfica's face from the first whistle. If they allowed Benfica to find their rhythm, they would have likely lost, and they knew that. But, despite Boca enjoying a solid 30 minutes that saw them go 2-0 up, they once again pressed the self-destruct button despite having a man advantage.
This is where Bayern can be more streetwise than the Portuguese. If Kompany's team can score first and take control, the gaps will start to appear for Boca, who were flat-footed towards the end of their first match.
Boca's high energy was impressive, but in the hot conditions, it is unsustainable for 90 minutes. Bayern have so much quality across the pitch; they are a level above Benfica in front of goal, and Boca won't be able to live with them.
Bayern Munich vs Boca Juniors Projected Starting Lineups
Bayern Munich
Neuer; Guerreiro, Stanisic, Tah, Boey, Kimmich, Pavlovic, Olise, Muller, Coman, Kane
Boca Juniors
Marchesin; Blanco, Costa, Battaglia, Advincula, Palacios, Delgado, Belmonte, Zenon, Velasco, Merentiel