Wydad Casablanca and Juventus will face off today at 12:00 p.m. EDT.
Juventus is favored at a -450 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-130o / -102u) goals.
Let's get into my Wydad AC vs. Juventus prediction.
Wydad AC vs. Juventus Prediction
Pick: Juventus Win and Under 3.5 Goals
My Wydad AC vs. Juventus best bets are for Juventus to win and for the game to have Under 3.5 goals.
Wydad AC vs. Juventus Odds
| Wydad AC Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +105 | 2.5 -130o / -102u | +1300 |
| Juventus Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -145 | 2.5 -130o / -102u | -450 |
Wydad AC vs. Juventus Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Juventus Win
Leg 2: Under 3.5 Goals
Leg 3: Juventus to Win to Nil
Leg 4: Under 1.25 Goals in The First Half
BETSiE, our in-house predictive data model, projects Wydad AC to conjure just 0.36xG against Juventus (2.53xG). That’s the lowest expected goal tally of any team on MD2. Even the semi-pro outfit Auckland City FC (0.48xG) has a higher projected goal tally in their match.
Wydad AC should approach their fixture with Juventus in a compact low block and look to make the most of any set pieces or transitional opportunities. They looked a threat at times against Manchester City and will be disappointed to have not found the net at least once. Their game plan might look and feel very similar here
The Moroccans will be acutely aware that there is more quality in this Juventus squad. Wydad’s best chance of success is staying strong and compact out of possession, so there’s potential to spring a surprise when an opportunity arises. We saw something similar with the Moroccan national team at the most recent World Cup. That kind of approach should limit goals at either end.
Wydad AC vs. Juventus Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Wydad AC | Draw | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| 5.4% | 15% | 79.6% |
Projected Total Goals
| Wydad AC | Total Goals | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| 0.37 | 2.46 | 2.09 |
Wydad AC vs. Juventus Betting Analysis
The 5-0 drubbing of Al-Ain was the first time since February that Juventus have scored more than three goals. We should bear that in mind when contemplating whether or not Juventus has morphed into a new beast in the US.
In fairness, although many will remember Juventus’ season as one that often saw low-scoring games and one dominated by draws, they did score two or more goals in 19 of 38 (50%) fixtures. Igor Tudor will be desperate to tick off another two or more here.
Randal Kolo Muani, Francisco Conceiçao, and Kenan Yildiz all scored and performed well on MD1. Their inventiveness and goalscoring capabilities will need to continue throughout this competition this summer if they are to beat Wydad here on MD2 and to be taken seriously in the latter stages.
Their Moroccan opponents will likely employ a game plan similar to what we saw when they faced Manchester City in Philadelphia. They’ll harass and apply pressure out of possession, with a focus on not losing the game rather than setting out to edge in front. That kind of approach feeds into transitional play and counterattacks.
If Juventus commits too many bodies upfield and abandons their principles in the defensive third, this might prove to be what the Europeans call a ‘banana skin’ type of fixture.
Wydad was competitive against City, registering 12 attempts to City’s 15 and four corners to the victors’ nine. The one Big Chance missed suggests that when the opportunity presents itself, Wydad will try and take it. Whether they can or not will ultimately decide the course of the result.
Wydad AC vs. Juventus Projected Starting Lineups
Wydad AC
Benabid; Moufid, Ferreira, Meijers, Boutouil, Moufi; Amrabat, Zemraoui, El Moubarik, Lorch; Mailula.
Juventus
Di Gregorio; Savona, Baio, Kelly; Kalulu, Thuram, McKennie, Cambiaso; Yildiz, Kolo Muani, Conceicao
