Chelsea (1-0-0) and Flamengo (1-0-0) will face off today at 2:00 p.m. EDT at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia.
Chelsea is favored at a -135 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-120o / -112u) goals.
Let's get into my Chelsea vs. Flamengo prediction.
Chelsea vs. Flamengo Prediction
Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (+105)
My Chelsea vs. Flamengo best bet is for this match to go under the total.
Chelsea vs. Flamengo Odds
| Chelsea Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -145 | 2.5 -120o / -112u | -135 |
| Flamengo Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 +105 | 2.5 -120o / -112u | +340 |
Chelsea vs. Flamengo Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Under 2.5 Goals (+105)
Leg 2: Under 1 Goal in First Half (+107)
Leg 3: Both Team to Score — No (-105)
Under 2.5 goals landed in both Flamengo's and Chelsea's opening matches as the Brazilian club beat Esperance de Tunis 2-0, and Chelsea edged past LAFC with the same scoreline.
Flamengo heads into this encounter having not conceded a goal in over 380 minutes of competitive football. The Malvadão has only shipped four league goals in 11 appearances to date. Filipe Luis, a former defender himself, has made his team incredibly difficult to break through.
Four of Chelsea's last five matches have produced two goals or fewer, managing to keep three clean sheets in the process. With the top spot up for grabs in Group D, this could be a tight match with neither side willing to slip up.
Chelsea vs. Flamengo Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Chelsea | Draw | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| 62.6% | 20.1% | 17.3% |
Projected Total Goals
| Chelsea | Total Goals | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| 1.87 | 2.74 | 0.87 |
Chelsea vs. Flamengo Betting Analysis
Enzo Maresca’s side is the clear favorite here, with our in-house model giving them a 62% chance of victory. However, the relatively low projected goal tally of 2.74 hints that the Blues might initially struggle to break down the Brazilian side's defense.
Flamengo has been in impressive form, losing just once in its last 16 matches across all competitions, a 2-1 defeat to Cruzeiro, and managing a remarkable 13 clean sheets. During this period, the club conceded an average of just 0.31 goals per game. In a recent fixture against Espérance, the club allowed a mere 0.2 xGA.
Meanwhile, since 25 February 2025, Chelsea has kept 12 clean sheets and secured 11 victories without conceding across all competitions.
Notably, only three of Flamengo's last 11 games have ended with both teams finding the net. In addition, Chelsea has not scored more than one goal in the first half of any of the last ten Premier League matches. Given these trends, considering the Asian Line selection could be a prudent move.
Chelsea vs. Flamengo Projected Starting Lineups
Chelsea
Sánchez; Cucurella, Colwill, Adarabioyo, James, Caicedo, Lavia, Palmer, Neto, Madueke, Jackson.
Flamengo
Rossi; Varela, Pereira, Ortiz, Lucas, Pulgar, Jorginho, de Arrascaeta, Gerson, Araújo, Pedro
