Botafogo (1-0-0) and Paris Saint-Germain (1-0-0) will face off today at 9:00 p.m. ET at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California.
PSG is favored at a -525 price, with the over/under set at 3.5 (+110o / -155u) goals.
Let's get into my Botafogo vs. PSG prediction.
Botafogo vs. PSG Prediction
Pick: Over 3.5 Goals (+100)
My Botafogo vs. PSG best bet is for the total to go Over 3.5 Goals.
Botafogo vs. PSG Odds
| Botafogo Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +130 | 3.5 +110o / -155u | +1250 |
| PSG Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -185 | 3.5 +110o / -155u | -525 |
Botafogo vs. PSG Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Over 3.5 Goals (+100)
Leg 2: Botafogo Under 6.5 Shots (+100)
Leg 3: PSG Over 1.5 Goals & Both Teams To Score: No (+115)
PSG showed no signs of slowing down after their Champions League triumph when they put four past Atletico Madrid in round one. Even without Ousmane Dembélé, the French champions dominated the match and didn’t let up, scoring two goals in the final minutes. Luis Enrique’s side is in the USA to win it.
Botafogo won their first match 2-1 against Seattle Sounders, but they made it difficult for themselves in the final 20 minutes. If they defend like that against PSG, the goals will flow. And not in their favour.
Both teams carry a threat going forward. Botafogo has a strong physical striker in Igor Jesus, but they also have attacking wingers capable of providing him with the service required. PSG may be surprised in their defensive third.
Botafogo vs. PSG Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Botafogo | Draw | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | 11.2% | 82.5% |
Projected Total Goals
| Botafogo | Total Goals | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| 0.66 | 3.43 | 2.77 |
Botafogo vs. PSG Betting Analysis
Any concerns of a Champions League hangover were dispelled by PSG as they earned a comprehensive 4-0 win over Atlético Madrid in their first group game.
Luis Enrique’s side are arguably the most feared team in world football at present. They face a Botofogo side that also managed to win their opening game, but they certainly rode their luck against the Seattle Sounders.
PSG has talent in abundance, but it is their exceptional work rate that sets them apart from the other European heavyweights last season. They have an industrious midfield and a tireless forward line that aims to win the ball back as quickly as possible. Their PPDA (passes allowed per defensive action) of 7.29 was the second-lowest in Europe’s top five leagues, meaning their opponents were never allowed to hold onto the ball uncontested. As a result, PSG dominated possession and conceded very few shots. This trend continued into Les Parisiens’ win over Atlético Madrid, where they kept 74% and allowed their opponents to have just five shots.
Botafogo had 12 shots in their opening game, and have averaged 13.8 in their last 10 outings. However, they seldom take on a team as strong as PSG. The last time they were odds of 7.00 / +600 or greater on the 1X2 market was away to Palmeiras in 2023. They managed just six shots in that game and are far bigger underdogs ahead of the clash with the European champions.
Botafogo vs. PSG Projected Starting Lineups
Botafogo
Victor; Alex Telles, Ricardo, Jair, Vitinho, Rodríguez, Freitas, Gregore, Artur, Savarino, Igor Jesus.
PSG
Donnarumma; Mendes, Pacho, Marquinhos, Hakimi; Ruiz, Vitinha, Neves; Dóué, Ramos, Kvaratskhelia.
