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AL Rookie of the Year Odds Tracker: Bobby Witt Jr., Spencer Torkelson Headline Notable Breakout Candidates

AL Rookie of the Year Odds Tracker: Bobby Witt Jr., Spencer Torkelson Headline Notable Breakout Candidates article feature image

(Photo by Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images)

AL Rookie of the Year Odds

Odds via PointsBet and as of April 6

Player Odds
Bobby Witt Jr. +350
Spencer Torkelson +500
Adley Rutschman +600
Julio Rodriguez +600
Shane Baz +650
Josh Jung +1000
Jeremy Pena +1000
Riley Greene +1500
Joe Ryan +1800
Vidal Brujan +2000
Reid Detmers +2500
Kyle Isbel +2500
Josh Lowe +3000
Tristan Casas +3000
Luis Gil +3000
Jarren Duran +3500
Grayson Rodriguez +4000
Jose Siri +4000
Daulton Jefferies +5000
AJ Alexy +5000
Kevin Smith +5000
Steven Kwan +5000
Nate Pearson +5500
AJ Puk +6500
Jackson Kowar +6500
George Kirby +6500
Gabriel Arias +6500
Richie Palacios +7500
Nick Pratto +7500
Nick Allen +8000
Jake Burger +9000
Estevan Florial +9000
Brent Honeywell Jr. +9000
Sam Huff +10000
Jordan Groshans +10000
Tyler Nevin +10000
Xavier Edwards +10000

Baseball’s back. Let the youngsters belt cloud-scrapers to the stratosphere.

We’ve got our fair share of power hitters from the recent drafts, as well as a potential future ace out of the East to headline the AL Rookie of the Year market.

Let’s dive into the top contenders and prices.

1. Bobby Witt Jr. (+350)

Bobby Witt Jr.: If that name alone doesn’t scream ‘future Hall of Famer,’ I don’t know what does.

Bobby Witt Jr. has five homers in his last four games, including a three-homer night on Sunday. #Royals

— Anne Rogers (@anne__rogers) June 3, 2021

The Royals’ prized gem out of the 2019 class became only the third player over the last 30 years to produce 30 bombs, 30 doubles and 30 stolen bases in 2021 — just his second full minor-league campaign.

2. Spencer Torkelson (+500)

You like moonshots? Spencer Torkelson has all the moonshots.

Spencer Torkelson now has THREE multi-homer games this season.

— Detroit Tigers Player Development (@RoadtoDetroit) September 2, 2021

The No. 1-overall pick out of the 2020 cycle’s been parking balls at a torrid clip ever since his freshman season in Tempe, when he led the Pac-12 in homers (25).

3. Adley Rutschman (+600)

Triple-A was hardly a hiccup for Rutschman last season.

The star catcher — who fell into Baltimore’s lap at No. 1 in the 2019 draft — hit .312 with five homers, 20 RBI and 20 runs in 43 games with Norfolk.

4. Julio Rodriguez (+600)

The Mariners need to unearth some gems out of their stash from recent drafts and trades, and Rodriguez has an opportunity to become one of those X-factors at the pro level. He’s currently the second-ranked prospect on’s board, behind only Rutschman.

5. Shane Baz (+650)

Shane Baz striking out Vlady Jr. with a filthy slider + 99 mph upstairs.

He's going to be a problem.

— Nick Pollack (@PitcherList) September 20, 2021

That’s Shane Baz, who the Pirates once treated as bottom-of-the-bag French fries in their deal to land Chris Archer.

Sometimes the jokes write themselves.

6. Josh Jung (+1000)

Jung’s consistently made big strides ever since the Rangers took him eighth overall out of Texas Tech in 2019. He earned a promotion to Triple-A midway through the 2021 campaign and proceeded to smack nine homers over 35 games.

FanGraphs tabs Jung a top-10 prospect for the 2022 cycle.

7. Jeremy Pena (+1000)

If the Astros don’t retain Carlos Correa, it likely opens the door for Pena, who’s gaining crazy traction entering the 2022 campaign. He’s up to No. 16 in Baseball Prospectus’ Top 100 a year after clocking in No. 82, thanks to swatting 10 bombs in 37 games across two levels last season.

Astros No. 4 prospect Jeremy Pena going yard off Jacob deGrom!

— MLB Pipeline (@MLBPipeline) March 16, 2021

8. Riley Greene (+1500)

Greene’s another fast riser, moving from No. 31 last year to No. 4 in Baseball America’s preseason pecking order, and 19 to 6 via FanGraphs. However, he’ll miss some time out the gates with a leg injury.

One of the top prep bats out of the 2019 cycle slashed an impressive .301/.400/.554 in 43 games with Triple-A Erie last year, while 21 of his 49 hits went for extra bases.

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Previous Winners

Year Winner
2000 Kazuhiro Sasaki
2001 Ichiro Suzuki
2002 Eric Hinske
2003 Angel Berroa
2004 Bobby Crosby
2005 Huston Street
2006 Justin Verlander
2007 Dustin Pedroia
2008 Evan Longoria
2009 Andrew Bailey
2010 Neftali Feliz
2011 Jeremy Hellickson
2012 Mike Trout
2013 Wil Myers
2014 Jose Abreu
2015 Carlos Correa
2016 Michael Fulmer
2017 Aaron Judge
2018 Shohei Ohtani
2019 Yordan Alvarez
2020 Kyle Lewis
2021 Randy Arozarena

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