Win Totals for All 30 MLB Teams
We'll have a full baseball season in 2022, and we've got win totals. What else do you need?
WynnBet first released its win totals in January, with the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees leading the way. Wynn re-released its win totals after the owners and MLB Players Association reached a new collective bargaining agreement on March 10 setting up a full season and didn't move the lines until free agency started.
We've seen some big moves in the last few weeks and got another big one Friday -- the Mets dropped 2.5 wins on news that Jacob deGrom would be shut down for at least a month.
The Dodgers went from 95 wins to 97.5 after Freddie Freeman landed in L.A. The Phillies jumped from 83 wins to 87.5 after adding Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber, then dropped back down to 86.5. The Padres dropped from 91.5 to 86.5 on news that Fernando Tatis Jr. broke his hand in the offseason and could miss up to three months.
The Twins have made the biggest leap in total wins, going from 74 to 81 wins after signing Carlos Correa and acquiring Sonny Gray and Gary Sanchez via trade. They continued to take betting action in the week before the regular season, causing that final move from 80 wins to 81.
With all those teams increasing their win totals in the offseason, that means others had to drop. The A's World Series odds have plummeted, as has their win total, after trading Matt Olsen and Matt Chapman. The Reds have also taken a hit as they lost many key pieces this offseason, including Gray and Nick Castellanos.
Odds via WynnBet, updated March 31
|Los Angeles Dodgers||97.5|
|New York Yankees||92|
|Chicago White Sox||91.5|
|Toronto Blue Jays||91|
|Tampa Bay Rays||89.5|
|New York Mets||87|
|San Diego Padres||86.5|
|Boston Red Sox||86|
|St. Louis Cardinals||86|
|San Francisco Giants||86|
|Los Angeles Angels||84.5|
|Kansas City Royals||75.5|
2022 MLB Win Totals by Team
1. Los Angeles Dodgers: 97.5
The Dodgers enter the 2022 season with the highest win total for the fourth straight year and are once again the World Series favorite. They won the second-most games in the majors last season, but finished second in their division to the Giants.
2. New York Yankees: 92
The Yankees finished with 92 wins last season and got the second wild card, but quickly bowed out with a loss to the Red Sox in the American League's play-in game. All in all it was a disappointing season for the Bronx Bombers, but the MLB win totals market expects them to bounce back quickly.
3. Houston Astros: 92
All the drama around the Astros over the past few years hasn't affected them on the field. After a brief downturn in the shortened 2020 season, Houston was once again one of MLB's best teams in 2021, winning the AL West and reaching the World Series before falling to the Braves.
4. Chicago White Sox: 91.5
The White Sox rebuild culminated in a playoff appearance in 2020 but ended with a quick exit in the Wild Card Game against the A's. In 2021, Chicago won the AL Central but bowed out to the Astros in four games in the ALDS. There's no doubt the Southsiders will be in the mix again in 2022.
5. Toronto Blue Jays 91
The Blue Jays offense broke out in a huge way in 2021 but they didn't get the pitching behind it to make the postseason in the brutal AL East. Four of the teams in the division have win totals of at least 86, including Toronto, so it will be tough sledding again. But the market loves this team, making it the second World Series favorite and first in the American League at many sportsbooks.
6. Milwaukee Brewers: 90
The Brewers were mighty impressive in 2021, winning 95 games and the NL Central. They bested their preseason win total by 10 games and should be a World Series contender once against behind a strong pitching staff.
7. Tampa Bay Rays 89.5
The betting market was a bit down on the Rays in 2021, setting their win total at 85.5. What did Tampa do in response? Just win 100 games and the AL East. They bowed out to the Red Sox quickly in the ALDS, but they'll be right back in contention in 2022.
8. Atlanta Braves: 89
The defending World Series champions have a strong core in place and seem to develop players with ease. We'll see if they can repeat some of that magic from 2021, even without Freddie Freeman. They traded for Oakland's Matt Olsen, and will get Ronald Acuna Jr. and Marcell Ozuna back in the outfield.
9. New York Mets: 87
The Mets' win total dropped 2.5 wins on news that Jacob deGrom would be shut down for the next four weeks at minimum.
10. San Diego Padres: 86.5
The Padres had lofty expectations and an incredibly deep roster entering 2021 but it never quick came together. They finished with 79 wins, about 15 short of their preseason win total. Fernando Tatis Jr. broke his hand in the offseason, which has caused a four-win drop in San Diego's win total over the last few weeks.
11. Philadelphia Phillies: 86.5
Bryce Harper won NL MVP thanks to a monster second half but the Phillies had too many deficiencies elsewhere to contend in the soft NL East. But the division is still up for grabs this year, and this win total implies the Phils could be in the top half, at least. Adding Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos to the lineup won't hurt.
12. Boston Red Sox: 86
Boston picked up right where it left off with Alex Cora coming back as manager, reaching the ALCS before falling to the Astros in six games. Like all the other AL East teams, they'll have to be at their best to contend in this division.
13. St. Louis Cardinals: 86
The Cardinals got scorching hot to close the 2021 season and finished with 90 wins to reach the NL Wild Card game before bowing out to the Dodgers. Their line is set lower than that, though they're second in the division behind the Brewers.
14. San Francisco Giants: 85.5
The San Francisco Giants' win total last season was a paltry 75.5, and they won 107. One hundred and seven! The Giants got resurgent seasons from aging stars like Buster Posey and Brandon Crawford, so it's fair to expect some regression. The betting market certainly is.
15. Seattle Mariners: 84.5
The Mariners smashed preseason expectations last year, winning 90 games to finish second to the Astros in the AL West. It wasn't quite enough to reach the playoffs, but Seattle could be in the mix again. The market is expecting some regression but not a complete drop for the Mariners.
16. Los Angeles Angels: 84
The Angels have the two favorites to win AL MVP on their roster but once again have a middling win total. They haven't won 85 games since 2015.
17. Minnesota Twins: 81
The Twins were one of the biggest disappointments in the league last year, finishing with 74 wins on an MLB win totals line of 88.5. Minnesota had won the AL Central the season prior. The Twins added Carlos Correa and Sonny Gray this offseason, causing a big jump in their win total.
18. Detroit Tigers: 79.5
Some people are expecting big things from the Tigers thanks to the strong pitching staff they're building. Detroit had one of the lowest win totals in baseball at 68.5 last season but finished with 77 wins, third in the AL Central.
19. Miami Marlins: 77.5
The MLB win totals market underrated the Marlins for a few years, but overrated them in 2021. Miami finished with 67 wins, four short of their preseason win total.
20. Cleveland Guardians: 76.5
In their first year as the Guardians, Cleveland has middling expectations. The market pegged them perfectly last year, setting their win total at 81.5; they finished with 80 wins.
21. Kansas City Royals: 75.5
The Royals were also pegged correctly last year with a win total of 74.5 before finishing with 74 wins. K.C. has some prospects in the pipeline that will try to push this team closer to .500 this season.
22. Cincinnati Reds: 73.5
The Reds have been pegged as a breakout team for what feels like four seasons now, but finished exactly where expected last season -- 83 wins on a preseason win total of 81.5. Offseason departures have tempered expectations.
23. Chicago Cubs: 73.5
The Cubs are toiling away in the bottom half of the league after shipping away most of their key pieces in 2021. They finished 7.5 wins shy of their total last season, and are set a much more buy-able price in 2022.
24. Texas Rangers: 71.5
The Rangers made a few offseason splashes, particularly signing shortstop Corey Seager, but oddsmakers still aren't expecting much from Texas. They won just 60 games last season.
25. Oakland Athletics: 70.5
The A's had fairly high expectations last season with a win total of 86.5. They finished with 86 wins and third in a competitive AL West. Now without Matt Olsen and Matt Chapman, among other departed pieces, bettors are expecting a big letdown in 2022.
27. Washington Nationals: 70.5
The Nats are in rebuild mode after they shipped Max Scherzer and Trea Turner to the Dodgers last season, and the betting market doesn't think things will get much better in 2022.
27. Colorado Rockies: 70
Colorado scrapped together 74 wins in a tough division to finish over its 2021 win total by 11 games, but the betting market is expecting a little regression this year.
28. Arizona Diamondbacks: 65
The D'Backs were historically bad in 2021, finishing with 52 wins. That was 22.5 games of their preseason expectation.
29. Pittsburgh Pirates: 65
The Pirates have no plans of competing anytime soon but it's encouraging to see their win total at 65. Last season, they began the season with the lowest mark at 59.5 wins, and went over with 61 victories!
30. Baltimore Orioles 60.5
With 72 games scheduled against the Red Sox, Yankees, Rays and Blue Jays, it will be tough for the Orioles to improve much from last year. The brutal division is why they have the lowest win total.
Preseason MLB Win Totals Last 5 Years
Here is each team's preseason MLB win total since 2016, via SportsOddsHistory.
The 2020 season was just 60 games, so we're extrapolated the win totals based on a 162-game season.
|Boston Red Sox||90||80.5||85||94.5||92||92.5||86.5|
|Chicago White Sox||91.5||90.5||85||73.5||72.5||69.5||80.5|
|Kansas City Royals||76||74.5||63.5||69.5||70||76.5||84.5|
|Los Angeles Angels||84||83.5||88||82.5||84.5||79.5||80.5|
|Los Angeles Dodgers||95||102.5||101||93.5||95.5||94.5||89.5|
|New York Mets||88.5||90.5||88||85.5||82.5||87.5||89.5|
|New York Yankees||93||95.5||101||96.5||94.5||83.5||85.5|
|San Diego Padres||91.5||94.5||82||78.5||72.5||66.5||73.5|
|San Francisco Giants||85.5||75.5||69||73.5||79.5||88.5||88.5|
|St. Louis Cardinals||86||86.5||88||88.5||86||83.5||87.5|
|Tampa Bay Rays||89.5||86.5||90.5||84.5||74||78.5||82.5|
|Toronto Blue Jays||91||86.5||74||74.5||81.5||85.5||86.5|