Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, Sept. 19: Can Lucchesi, Padres Spoil Brewers Playoff Hopes?


Jake Roth, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Joey Lucchesi

Sep 19, 2019, 11:13 AM EDT
  • Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and first five (F5) innings.
  • He analyzes Thursday's slate of games, including how to bet the San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers (4:10 p.m. ET).
  • Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.

With 10 regular-season games remaining for the majority of MLB clubs, every game is a playoff game for the teams still in contention.

In the National League, the Milwaukee Brewers find themselves tied with the Chicago Cubs – both for second place in the Wild Card, where they are each three games ahead of the Mets and Phillies, and second place in the NL Central; three games behind the St. Louis Cardinals.

If the season were to end today, the Brewers and Cubs would compete in a one-game playoff to see which team would face the Washington Nationals in the one-game Wild Card.

But the Brewers have a distinct advantage over the Cubs in the final ten games:

The Cardinals and Cubs will play seven times in that span – and the Brewers essentially control their own destiny if and when those clubs beat up on one another, beginning tonight.

All odds as of Thursday morning. Check out PointsBet, where Action Network users get an exclusive 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).

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model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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