Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, Aug. 23: Who Has the Edge as D-Backs, Brewers Jockey for Wild Card?
Joe Camporeale, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Ketel Marte
- Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and first five (F5) innings.
- He analyzes Friday's slate of games, including how to bet Diamondbacks at Brewers (8:10 p.m. ET).
- Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.
The Milwaukee Brewers (65-62) and Arizona Diamondbacks (64-64) remain afloat in the NL Wild Card hunt but are losing time to gain ground on the four teams standing between them and a playoff spot.
Arizona (+64) has a significantly better run differential than Milwaukee (-35), thanks in part to their stellar team defense which ranks as the best in baseball.
For that reason, I think that the Diamondbacks are undervalued on most nights – which is why I have continually backed them throughout 2019, and will do so once again on Friday.