Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, Aug. 23: Who Has the Edge as D-Backs, Brewers Jockey for Wild Card?

Credit:

Joe Camporeale, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Ketel Marte

Aug 23, 2019, 12:00 PM EDT
  • Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and first five (F5) innings.
  • He analyzes Friday's slate of games, including how to bet Diamondbacks at Brewers (8:10 p.m. ET).
  • Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.

The Milwaukee Brewers (65-62) and Arizona Diamondbacks (64-64) remain afloat in the NL Wild Card hunt but are losing time to gain ground on the four teams standing between them and a playoff spot.

Arizona (+64) has a significantly better run differential than Milwaukee (-35), thanks in part to their stellar team defense which ranks as the best in baseball.

For that reason, I think that the Diamondbacks are undervalued on most nights – which is why I have continually backed them throughout 2019, and will do so once again on Friday.

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model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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