Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 8/3: Trust Bumgarner vs. the Rockies?

Aug 03, 2019 06:00 AM EDT
Credit:

Kyle Terada, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Madison Bumgarner

  • Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and first five (F5) innings.
  • He analyzes Saturday's slate of games, including how to bet the Yankees-Red Sox doubleheader.
  • Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.

The Red Sox opted to start Chris Sale against Domingo German in the first leg of a rivalry doubleheader on Saturday afternoon, pushing Brian Johnson to the Saturday evening game against Chad Green and the Yankees bullpen.

Sale and German squared off on July 28 on Sunday Night Baseball in Boston, with Sale surrendering six runs on two homers in a 9-6 loss.

With the Red Sox sitting 11.5 games behind the Yankees, the AL East is likely out of reach; but the wild card is slipping away too. Tampa Bay is four games clear of Boston, with Oakland on their tail by a half-game; so the Red Sox are going to need to leapfrog a couple of good teams to make the postseason with a chance to defend their World Series crown.

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model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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