MLB Sharp Report: 2 Day Games Drawing Professional Action Wednesday
Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Cody Bellinger and Justin Turner
- Nine day games will take place in the MLB on Wednesday.
- Sharps have been causing some significant line moves on Braves vs. Twins (1:10 p.m. ET) and Cardinals vs. Dodgers (3:10 p.m. ET).
It’s getaway day in Major League Baseball, which means nine of Wednesday’s 14 games will get underway before 4 p.m. ET. It also means that sharp bettors have been to the window early and are already causing major line moves.
Both Braves vs. Twins (1:10 p.m.) and Cardinals vs. Dodgers (3:10 p.m.) have seen significant market adjustments thanks to professional action.
>> All odds as of 9 a.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets.
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins
1:10 p.m. ET | Max Fried (12-4, 4.07 ERA) vs. Martin Perez (8-4, 4.58 ERA)
After a 12-7 win last night behind just 25% of bets, the Braves seem to have earned some respect. Entering today’s afternoon start, they’re up to a 41% backing, which probably also stems from the fact that they won’t have to face Jose Berrios this time around.
Still, they are drawing a minority of bets, which makes their line move of +105 to -116 an especially significant one.
With no reason to be bothered by Atlanta’s popularity, sportsbooks have instead been reacting to which bettors are making up that 41%. Sports Insights’ Bet Signals have already triggered two steam moves — sudden, market-wide line shifts as a result of an overload of sharp action — on the Braves at +102.
Atlanta is also generating a slightly higher dollar than bet percentage (52% vs. 41%), indicating that bigger bettors — ones more likely to be sharps — are backing the Braves.
Sharp angle: Braves (moved from +105 to -116)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
3:10 p.m. ET | Jack Flaherty (5-6, 3.93 ERA) vs. Dustin May (0-1, 4.76 ERA)
A 76-40 vs. 58-54 matchup would generally result in an auto-bet for the public, but today’s Cards-Dodgers pitching matchup has casual bettors torn. Just 52% of bets thus far have landed on LA, which opened close to a -150 favorite.
Now, though, the Dodgers are down as far as -124 despite the even betting.
The 48% of bets landing on the Cardinals have accounted for an impressive 78% of actual money being wagered. That, of course, is going to create a monetary liability for sportsbooks, but perhaps more importantly, it’s again showing how bigger — probably sharper — bettors are playing this moneyline.
SI Bet Signals triggered a steam move on the Cards way back at +135. St. Louis is now listed anywhere from +113 to +120.
Sharp angle: Cardinals (moved from +136 to +118)