The Philadelphia Phillies host the San Diego Padres on Monday, June 30, 2025. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on NBCS-PH and MLB.TV.
The Phillies enter as -225 favorites, while the Padres are +181 to pull off the upset. The over/under, meanwhile, sits at 9 as San Diego's Matt Waldron squares off against Philadelphia's Zack Wheeler.
Find my Padres vs Phillies prediction and MLB betting preview below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Picks
- Padres vs. Phillies Under 9
- Nick Castellanos Over 0.5 Hits
Parlay Odds: +165 (via Fanatics)
Padres vs Phillies Odds, Spread, Line
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -105 | 9 +100o / -120u | +200 |
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -115 | 9 +100o / -120u | -250 |
Padres vs Phillies Projected Pitchers
| RHP Matt Waldron (SDP) | Stat | RHP Zack Wheeler (PHI) |
|---|---|---|
| (Season Debut) | W-L | 7-3 |
| – | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.0 |
| – | ERA /xERA | 2.55/2.34 |
| – | FIP / xFIP | 2.67/2.63 |
| – | WHIP | 0.93 |
| – | K-BB% | 26.4% |
| – | GB% | 40.2% |
| – | Stuff+ | 112 |
| – | Location+ | 108 |
Padres vs Phillies Pick, Parlay
Over/Under Pick: Under 9
We will ride with the under to kick off this highly anticipated series. The Phillies will send ace Zack Wheeler to the mound tonight. He's been outstanding in June with an ERA of 0.78.
The All-Star has allowed just four runs over his last four starts and has strong numbers against this Padres lineup. Wheeler has held the Friars to a .163 batting average in 93 at-bats.
The Padres will turn to Matt Waldron to make his first start of the season.
However, Philadelphia's offense has struggled lately, scoring two runs or fewer in five of its last six games.
Phillies Player Prop Pick: Nick Castellanos Over 0.5 Hits
The veteran comes into the game with some momentum at the plate. Castellanos has produced 11 hits in his last nine games.
I love this position for the Phillies outfielder to stay hot tonight.
Padres vs Phillies Same-Game Parlay
- Padres vs. Phillies Under 9
- Nick Castellanos Over 0.5 Hits
Parlay odds: +165 (via Fanatics)
