MLB Sharp Report: Braves-Phillies, Rays-Rangers Attracting Smart Money Wednesday
Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Ariel Jurado
- While the MLB season hits its point of least popularity, sharps are still finding betting value most nights.
- Tonight, they've hit both Braves vs. Phillies (7:05 p.m. ET) and Rays vs. Rangers (8:05 p.m. ET).
The MLB season has certainly lost some of its appeal to the public now that we’re into September. But even if it’s not the most exciting sport to bet on, it still can offer value, which means sharps are going to bet it.
Today they’ve already hit two games in particular, including one that should go down as one of the most heavily bet of the evening: Braves vs. Phillies.
Odds as of 12:40 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies
7:05 p.m. ET | Dallas Keuchel (7-5, 3.47 ERA) vs. Zach Eflin (8-11, 4.31 ERA)
Winners of 10 of their past 12, the Braves have opened up a 9.5-game lead in the NL East, including a 14-game edge over the third-place Phillies.
With that, it shouldn’t come as much surprise to see the public jumping on a short moneyline price tonight, especially given the advantage in the pitching matchup. Eighty-two percent of bettors, to be exact, have laid the minus-money with Atlanta.
Despite their support, however, the Braves have fallen from an opening number of -135 down to -129. As you could probably assume, sharps have been behind the reverse line movement.
Per Sports Insights’ Bet Signals, they hit the Phillies early at +125 and +124, driving the line down to its current listing.
Sharp angle: Phillies (moved from +125 to +119)
Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers
8:05 p.m. ET | Andrew Kittredge (1-0, 4.17 ERA) vs. Ariel Jurado (7-10, 5.40 ERA)
Oddsmakers waited until this morning to release a moneyline for this matchup, and public bettors were all over it right away. Apparently they were a little too all over it based on how sharps reacted to the initial line movement.
After opening at -150, the Rays were bet up to -159 behind heavy public support — they’re still drawing 74% of bets. From that point, however, Tampa’s line has come all the way down to a consensus -145.
Two more SI Bet Signals were triggered on the home dog, coming at lines of +143 to +140.
Sharp angle: Rangers (moved from +144 to +135)