MLB Thursday Forecast: Coors Field Doesn’t Care About Weather
Photo credit: Steven Branscombe-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Coors Field
- Coors Field makes its return, but the Weather Rating of 55 is just the fourth highest of the day. Does it matter?
- The best hitting weather will be in Detroit, but the White Sox-Tigers game also boasts the best chance of rain.
We have ourselves a skimpy Thursday slate of baseball with just 10 games on tap. The slate is also split, with four day games and six night games … at least there’s some nice playoff hockey and basketball to watch.
Today’s weather isn’t too crazy, as there are no hail or tornado threats in the forecast. However, there is an anomaly — something seen once in a blue moon. Let’s take a look.
A Trip To The Lab
Coors Field is back! But there’s a catch … the weather does not look very good. The Weather Rating is just 55 and the wind will be blowing in.
But what does this mean?
Coors doesn’t pay heed to general laws of physics! That’s what it means.
You’ll notice below that Coors didn’t even crack the top three Weather Ratings, which is very rare. However, it hasn’t really mattered when it comes to daily fantasy.
Using FantasyLabs’ Trends tool, we see that hitters still outperform their pricing by 0.9 DraftKings points on average when the Weather Rating has been between 50 and 60. That’s the best mark for any ballpark.
Conversely, pitchers have underperformed by 1.1 points on average, which is not the worst mark of any ballpark, but still pretty bad.
Highest Weather Ratings
- White Sox at Tigers: 68
- D’Backs at Braves: 61
- Giants at Nats: 57
Weather Ratings are a proprietary number created by FantasyLabs, which are on a 0-100 scale, with 100 being the best hitting atmosphere and 0 being the best pitching atmosphere. Weather Rating takes into account temperature, wind speed, wind direction, stadium elevation, humidity and atmospheric pressure.
Is it just me or does the park with the best weather always seem to have the risk of rain? Maybe not always, but that’s at least been the case lately. The White Sox-Tigers game is the only game all day with a legitimate risk of rain, so be careful.
Atlanta is showing some nice Atlanta-y weather tonight, with temps in the mid-70s and winds blowing to left. Though it’s one of the most frequent spots for rain, it also generally has above-average hitting conditions throughout the summer.
Over/under bets are split for the Giants-Nats game, but money is on the under in a big way, which has caused the total to drop from 8 to 7.5 at some books. Are they not aware that the wind is blowing out? Are they not aware that the Weather Rating is 57?
Lowest Weather Ratings
- Reds at Padres: 28
- Mariners at Angels: 32
- Royals at Yankees: 35
Nothing super low on today’s slate, with fairly average numbers for San Diego, Anaheim and New York tonight.
Over/unders have remained at their respective openers for the games in San Diego and New York, but the total is up from 9 to 9.5 for the Mariners-Angels game. Angel Stadium is historically the best ballpark for unders, so hopefully those hammering the over have a good reason to do so.
- White Sox at Tigers
Only one game looks hairy today, with hairiness levels somewhere between Kenny Loggins and Bob Seger.
The White Sox and Tigers are set to play ball at 1 p.m. ET, but there will be scattered showers in the area throughout the afternoon. In fact, the chance of rain gets worse as the day progresses, so it’s not a game in which they can really wait a few hours and then play.
There could be a window in the early afternoon, but if rain or thunder (which there’s a chance of) hits in the 1-2 p.m. time frame, they could have trouble getting the game played.