The Arizona Diamondbacks (43-45) and Kansas City Royals (42-47) will meet in the MLB this afternoon. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on ARID.
Arizona is a -145 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Kansas City is +118 to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 8.5 total runs.
Continue below for my Royals vs Diamondbacks predictions and MLB picks for Saturday, July 5, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Royals vs Diamondbacks Prediction
- Royals vs Diamondbacks pick: Michael Wacha Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135)
My Diamondbacks vs. Royals best bet is on Michael Wacha under 4.5 strikeouts, with the best line currently available at BetMGM. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Royals vs Diamondbacks Odds
| Royals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -175 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | +118 |
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +145 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | -145 |
Royals vs Diamondbacks Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Michael Wacha (KCR) | Stat | RHP Ryne Nelson (ARI) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-8 | W-L | 4-2 |
| 1.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.7 |
| 3.62/ 3.96 | ERA /xERA | 3.61/ 4.01 |
| 3.88/ 4.35 | FIP / xFIP | 3.57/ 3.83 |
| 1.26 | WHIP | 1.02 |
| 12.0% | K-BB% | 14.1% |
| 38.8% | GB% | 42.5% |
| 97 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 104 | Location+ | 103 |
Royals vs Diamondbacks Betting Analysis
Royals vs Diamondbacks Betting Preview
Michael Wacha is not necessarily a high strikeout pitcher, as he has an 18% strikeout percentage on the season for the Royals.
However, this matchup sets up poorly for him, as his strikeout percentage drops to 16.8% against left-handed hitters.
This projected Diamondbacks lineup features a total of seven lefties, and as a whole, combine for a K% of just 18.9% against right-handed pitching this season.
Pick: Michael Wacha Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135)
Moneyline
I will not be betting on either side of the moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
I'm also staying away from run line bets.
Over/Under
I don't see value on game totals
