The MLB offseason is upon us, and that means that some of the league's top players will be signing new deals in free agency, either re-upping with their existing team or leaving town for greener pastures.
DraftKings has odds posted for where Pete Alonso will land for the 2026 season, with the Mets considered the favorites for his services.
Pete Alonso Next Team Odds, Predictions
Odds are via DraftKings.
Pete Alonso Free Agency Breakdown
Career
Pete Alonso is a Mets legend, through and through. He is the franchise's all-time leader in home runs, a record he set in 2025 at 264 after passing Darryl Strawberry with his 253rd blast. Alonso first endeared himself to Mets fans in 2019, when he broke the all-time single-season rookie home run record with an MLB-leading 53 blasts that year.
The hulking first baseman from Florida has been a steady source of power for the Mets through the lean years and into their contention window, slashing .253/.341/.516 with a 132 wRC+ over his seven-season tenure in Queens. Alonso has also been the pinnacle of health, playing in all 162 games the past two seasons, and only missing more than three team games twice.
He entered the free agent market for the first time after the 2024 season, which was likely the worst season of his career to that point. He managed just 2.1 fWAR despite playing every single game, grading out as around a league-average player, not a guy worthy of a long-term deal. He ended up signing back with the Mets for two years and $54 million, with an opt out after the first year, which he took. This second time around in free agency, Alonso will be looking for the bag once again.
2025 Season
Alonso carried a .343/.474/.657 slash line into the month of May, and even though he'd slow down a bit, he picked things right back up with great months in June, August, and September. He finished the season with a 141 wRC+, tied for second-highest in his career, 3.6 fWAR, his third-highest, and 38 home runs.
Even with that incredible year, the question of Alonso's true value still remains a bit of a mystery. He'll turn 31 in December, and although he posted his highest career batting average this season at .272, the only thing he truly excels at is his power hitting. We'll see how far that takes him this winter.
Top Suitors
New York Mets
Per DraftKings' odds, the top suitor for Alonso's services is still the New York Mets. First base is not an easy hole to fill, and if they can get Alonso to agree to a reasonable deal that would allow them to still spend at the top of the market to improve the team, there's no reason why he shouldn't end up back in Queens.
The Mets don't have many strong options to replace Alonso internally. Mark Vientos would undoubtedly be a better defensive fit at first than he has been at third, but after a sharp downturn in production last season, it's unclear whether he'll hit enough to provide value there. Alonso remains the best right-handed infield bat available, the Mets are loaded with lefties, and would likely stray away from adding a Josh Naylor or Luis Arraez to the payroll.
Did Alonso's resurgent 2025 season erase all doubts the Mets front office had about him the offseason prior? Likely not, but it definitely made it harder to part with one of the core pieces of the roster despite his advancing age and relatively unilateral source of value.
New York Yankees
Second on DraftKings' odds list is, somewhat surprisingly, the Mets' crosstown rival. The Yankees seem unlikely to bring back veteran Paul Goldschmidt despite a solid season, but they do have other first base options that would serve the club better.
Chiefly among those options is Ben Rice, who broke out to the tune of a .255/.337/.499 slash line, 26 home runs, a 133 wRC+, and 3.0 fWAR. At 26 years old, he'll probably be a better option than Alonso at first base long-term, but there is one caveat; the Yankees could opt to make Rice their full-time catcher, a position where he ended up playing 36 games at in 2025, and look to move the incumbent Austin Wells.
That would open the door for the Yankees to bring Alonso into the fold, adding a much-needed right-handed bat to a lineup to complement the lefties in Rice, Jazz Chisholm Jr., and whoever they sign to play the outfield. It's a bit of an unorthodox fit that would require the Yankees to move some pieces around, but if they feel the price is right and they can't find offensive upgrades elsewhere, they could pull the trigger.
Texas Rangers
If Alonso chooses to leave the northeast, the Texas Rangers could be waiting for him with open arms. This is a team that has shown a willingness to spend over the past half decade, inking Corey Seager, Marcus Semien, and Jacob deGrom to big-money deals, and supplementing them with less expensive pieces in Wyatt Langford, Adolis García, and Nathan Eovaldi.
First base is a hole that needs plugging, though. The Rangers smartly jettisoned longtime first baseman Nathaniel Lowe to Washington before his numbers bottomed out, and brought in Jake Burger from Miami to replace him. Burger had a disappointing first year in Texas, slashing .236/.269/.419 in an injury-limited 103-game sample, while watching his average exit velocity and xwOBA plummet. The team might look to decrease his role in 2026 or even non-tender him if they feel his arbitration price will be too high.
Enter Pete Alonso. Plugging him in at first base might be the offensive jolt needed for a Rangers club that posted the sixth-lowest wRC+ in the league in 2025, and provide a right-handed complement in the lineup to Corey Seager. Even if they decide to keep Burger, he could easily platoon or share DH duties with Joc Pederson, in hopes that one or both of them can revamp their production from years prior.
