Game 7.
Shohei Ohtani has a chance to cement his legacy with a career-defining performance in Toronto on Saturday — both on the mound and in the batter's box.
However, we're willing to bet against that.
Read on for our World Series Player Props and Game 7 picks for Ohtani.
Ohtani Prop No. 1: Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155)
We don't think Ohtani will pitch deep into this game.
He'll be working on short rest after tossing six innings in Game 4, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto's six-inning Game 6 performance helped reset the Dodgers' bullpen a tad — not to mention, Dave Roberts is likely to use his bullpen aggressively in a World Series winner-takes-all game.
Therefore, we're willing to make this wager solely based on low projected usage.
However, the Blue Jays are also a tough team to strike out. They struck out at the lowest rate among MLB lineups during the regular season (18%), a mark that's only decreased during the postseason (17%) — during this World Series run, the Jays' lineup has posted a CSW rate four points lower than any other team.
Action Labs projects Ohtani for just 3.8 strikeouts in Game 7.
Pick: Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155, bet365)
Ohtani Prop No. 1: Under 0.5 RBIs (-155)
Ohtani has recorded an RBI in two of six World Series games so far.
It's tough for him to record RBIs. He doesn't get many batters ahead of him from the leadoff spot, and he walks at an incredibly high rate — the Jays walked him five times in that 18-inning Game 4 thriller.
The only way he'll record an RBI in this game is if he hits a home run, and we're willing to bet against that.
MLB betting guru Sean Zerillo says to bet this prop down to -200.
Pick: Under 0.5 RBIs (-155, bet365)
