Celtics vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - May 28, 2023

9 REB in Game 1 because MIA abused double-big targeting Time Lord in PnR, where JB would be left to grab rebound. Since the lineup change, JB has been positioned to defend Gabe/Strus on the perimeter & avg. 4.0 RPG on 7.8 chances (11.6 in reg). Doing so, can allow him to lead transition on TOVs. 7 of the 16 (44%) REB have been offensive, showing there’s been luck. #PlayerProps

Gets 6+ extra MIN in blowouts. Close game = 📉 12-16 MIN tonight. Butler should command more USG, & Vincent is back. Needs to be on fire or else unplayable. Can’t hide him on D bc it costly. #PlayerProps

Love has been unplayable this series. It would be crazy if he gets the start tonight. I see either Caleb or Highsmith over him. Last game he got 10 of his 12 PRA in garbage time. Expect this game to be close all 48 MIN. #PlayerProps

This is our highest NBA points edge on our FTN Model at FTNBets.com!

Easy call to run this back. Was objectively better last game, but still only managed 25 PRA in 37 minutes, on strong shooting numbers, with a solid 28% usage rate. I don’t see a path for Brown to incur more usage - if things get tense, Tatum has been the guy all playoffs. And Brown just isn’t seeing the potential assists or rebounds - you could argue he’s 4th in line for each when he’s on the court. Series shifting back to Miami. Expect the Heat to look to make this a rock fight. A slower/halfcourt game favors Tatum.

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