Friday’s Five Best NBA Props to Bet
Brace Hemmelgarn- USA Today Sports
Friday’s NBA slate is a whopping 11 games, which means there are plenty opportunities to find profitable prop bets. The FantasyLabs Player Props tool currently has seven bets listed with a Bet Quality of 10 and an additional seven props listed with a Bet Quality of nine.
If you’re seeing this a little later, the players featured play at 7, 8, 9 and 10:30 p.m. ET. Here are five prop bets that I’m eyeing for tonight’s slate.
Jae Crowder under 13.5 points (-125 at Bovada)
9 p.m. ET
Crowder has given the Jazz a nice lift since coming over from the Cavaliers, averaging 28.9 minutes and 14.7 points per game. That said, Ricky Rubio should rejoin the rotation today, which will likely result in a diminished role for Crowder. This game should also be one of the lowest scoring of the day, with the Jazz and Blazers both ranking in the top 10 in defensive efficiency and the Jazz ranking 25th in pace.
Jayson Tatum under 4.5 rebounds (+115 at Bovada)
7 p.m. ET
Not entirely sure what Bovada is thinking with this line. Tatum hasn’t cracked 4.5 rebounds in any of his past eight games, and the Celtics are facing quite possibly the league’s best rebounder in Andre Drummond. Tatum could also see reduced minutes in this contest now that Marcus Smart is set to rejoin the team.
Rudy Gay under 11 points (-130 at Bovada)
9 p.m. ET
Gay is expected to return tonight for the San Antonio Spurs, but he will likely face some sort of minutes restriction in his first game back. He’s averaged only 11.5 points on 22.7 minutes per game this season, so it will be tough for him to hit that threshold if he’s limited to just 15 or so minutes tonight. The Spurs’ implied team total of 105 points is also the seventh-lowest on today’s slate.
Julius Randle over 7.5 rebounds (-125 at Bovada)
10:30 p.m. ET | ESPN
Randle has seen a nice bump in playing time since the Lakers traded away Larry Nance Jr. He’s played at least 31 minutes in each of his past three games and managed to pull down at least eight rebounds in two of those contests. He’s averaged more than eight rebounds per 36 minutes this season, so the bump in rebounding is not surprising given the bump in playing time. He has a nice matchup for rebounding purposes today against the Dallas Mavericks, who have the worst team rebound rate in the league this season.
Andrew Wiggins under 17 points (-120 at Sportsbook.com)
8 p.m. ET | ESPN
Wiggins has taken a major backseat to his teammates recently, which has hampered his ability to pile up points. He’s failed to crack the 17-point barrier in six of his past eight games and posted a usage rate below 20 percent in each of his past two contests. This game against the Rockets should be fast paced, but the Rockets have been a solid defensive team this season. Minnesota’s implied team total of 109.25 points seems high, but it actually represents a decrease when compared to their season average.