3 NBA Props for Saturday: LeBron Over/Under 9.5 Assists?

This article offers data-driven analysis on notable NBA player prop bets, often incorporating The Action Network’s public betting data along with the tools at FantasyLabs and Sports Insights.

Saturday’s analysis will cover the following three props for Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals featuring the Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers beginning at 8:30 p.m. ET:

• Terry Rozier (Boston) over/under 5 assists
• LeBron James (Cleveland) over/under 9.5 assists
• Marcus Morris (Boston) over/under 13.5 points

Looking for more props? Check out the FantasyLabs NBA Player Props  tool.

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Terry Rozier Under 5 Assists (-114)

“Scary Terry” has been phenomenal for the Celtics during the postseason — but he’s been far less effective when playing away from home. He's averaged just 2.5 assists per game while on the road this season compared to 3.3 while playing at home, despite playing roughly the same amount of minutes in both situations. His assist numbers have also taken a hit with both Marcus Smart and Jaylen Brown returning to full strength: He’s eclipsed the five-assist threshold just once in his past five games.

LeBron James Over 9.5 Assists (-114)

LeBron continues to absolutely crush in year 15 and is coming off a 42-point triple-double in Game 2. Postseason triple-doubles are nothing new to LeBron — he’s recorded 22 throughout his career — and he’s handed out at least 11 assists in four of his past six games. If he can get some additional help from some of the Cavs role players with the series returning to Cleveland, he has upside for even more assists in Game 3.

Marcus Morris Over 13.5 Points (-125)

Morris has carved out a big role for the Celtics in this series thanks to his ability to defend LeBron. Morris has played 34 minutes in each of the past two games and has averaged 18.3 points per 36 minutes on the season. He failed to hit the over on this prop in Game 2, but he shot just 35.7% from the field in that game, and if he sees some positive regression in that department in Game 3, he should be able to exceed this total.

All lines accurate as of 5:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, May 19.