Betting odds: Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics
- Spread: Celtics -3
- Over/Under: 221.5
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV channel: TNT
>> All odds as of 12 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NBA odds and track your bets
The Milwaukee Bucks are the last undefeated team left in the NBA (7-0) and will face a tough test on Thursday night against the Boston Celtics. This line opened at Celtics -2, suggesting these teams are nearly even on a neutral court.
Will the Bucks keep rolling, or will the Celtics remind Milwaukee who is in control of the East? Our analysts weigh in.
Moore: What I’m Watching for Tonight
OK, consider this more of a theoretical testing ground than anything. Read below in the “Betting Trends to Know” section for all of Evan’s great reasons why the under seems like a spectacular play here.
All right, so these are the two best defenses in the league — the only two teams allowing fewer than 100 points per possession — which in this scoring economy is basically an Iron Curtain of defense.
So I was curious what has happened historically when defenses such as these have met. I spitballed and put the threshold Defensive Rating at 103. Basically, if you have a Defensive Rating below 103 over the past few years since the Warriors started warping reality, you’re doing pretty well.
Since 2015, the over has gone 193-170-5 when two teams with sub-103 Defensive Ratings have met, a figure that shocked me considering, I mean, it’s a rock fight. However, with how games tend to buck conventional thinking, that had me leaning pretty hard toward the over in this matchup.