Bucks vs. Raptors Game 3 Betting Preview: Will Toronto Protect Home Court?

May 19, 2019 12:00 AM EDT
Credit:

Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Toronto Raptors guard Kyle Lowry (7) during the 2019 NBA Playoffs.

Game 3: Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors Betting Odds

  • Spread: Raptors -2.5
  • Over/Under: 220
  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Series Score: Bucks Lead 2-0

>> All odds as of Saturday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and live win probabilities on your bets.


The Bucks have been dominant through two games against the Raptors and will look to take a commanding 3-0 series lead on Sunday evening.

Are the Raptors worth a bet in a must-win situation? Our experts weigh in.

Betting Trends to Know

The Raptors return home in an 0-2 hole. Oddsmakers list Toronto as a favorite in Game 3, but a majority of spread tickets are on Milwaukee. It has been profitable to bet unpopular favorites in the NBA Playoffs since 2005. — John Ewing

The Raptors were blown out in Game 2 by 22 points. Can Toronto bounce back? Since 2005, home favorites that lost their previous game by double digits have gone 115-81-5 (59%) against the spread in the playoffs. — Ewing

The Bucks are simply dominating in the 2019 NBA playoffs. They are 10-1 ATS, beating opponents by 7.4 points per game. Since 2005, there have been numerous teams in the playoffs that had a win rate of 70% or higher and an average scoring margin of 10-plus PPG in their last 10 games … but just a handful were listed as an underdog, like the Bucks in Game 3.

Teams with that profile and listed as an underdog are just 5-13-1 ATS (27.8%) in the playoffs, failing to cover the spread by 5.3 points per game. When those teams are favored, they are 63-49-1 ATS (56.3%). — Evan Abrams

The Bucks are 8-4 straight up and 9-3 ATS when listed as an underdog this season. Three of the 12 games the Bucks were listed as underdogs have come against the Raptors entering Game 3 in Toronto:

  • Jan. 31, 2019: Bucks (+2.5) win in Toronto (105-92)
  • Dec. 9, 2018: Bucks (+4.5) win in Toronto (104-99)
  • Oct. 29, 2018: Bucks (+2) win at home vs. Toronto (123-108) –– Abrams

The Raptors head home down 2-0 in the series against the Bucks. Since 2005, teams that are down 0-2 heading home for Game 3 are 79-38-1 (67.5%) against the first-half spread; they are 28-6 (82.4%) in this spot over the last four seasons. — Abrams


Locky: How I’m Betting Game 3

I spent most of Game 2 trying to figure exactly how much chocolate and peanut butter ice cream I wanted to consume before going to bed. That’s how dramatic the actual game was.

It was close only in that Milwaukee occasionally got tired of winning by so much and wanted to be winning by a little less. But even that didn’t last very long. Just like my ice cream.

The really scary part was the way Milwaukee won.

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