Warriors-Rockets Betting Preview: Fade Golden State in a Potential Western Conference Finals Preview?

Mar 13, 2019 5:55 PM EDT
Credit:

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30), Rockets guard James Harden (13).

Betting Odds: Golden State Warriors-Houston Rockets

  • Spread: Rockets -3.5
  • Over/Under: 230
  • Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN

The Warriors and the Rockets have been headed in different directions over the past 10 games. Houston carries a nine-game winning streak into this matchup with Golden State and has won all three of its meetings against the reigning champs.

Can the Rockets close out their season series with the Warriors and extend their streak? Our analysts discuss.

What’s at Stake

To put the Rockets’ season in perspective consider that they were 11-14 at their lowest point this season just before Harden’s 30-point scoring streak began.

In the 42 games since, the Rockets are 31-11 and have the second-best winning percentage in the NBA behind the Milwaukee Bucks. The Rockets sit just 3.5 games back of the Warriors in the Western conference standings with the Nuggets one game back of the top spot.

This matchup could very well determine whether the Rockets have a realistic shot at winning the West and getting homecourt in the playoffs.

Betting Trends to Know

The Warriors lost to the Suns as 16-point favorites on Sunday. Teams that have lost their previous game as a double-digit favorite have gone 158-147-7 (52%) against the spread since 2005. When the next game was against an opponent with a winning record after losing as a double-digit favorite, the teams have gone 80-59-2 (58%) ATS. — John Ewing

In the past two seasons since acquiring Chris Paul, the Rockets are 5-1 straight up and ATS in the regular season against the Warriors covering by 9.9 points per game. Houston is 3-0 SU and ATS against Golden State this season. — Ewing

Since Kevin Durant signed with the Golden State Warriors at the beginning of the 2016-17 season, the Rockets and Warriors have played a total of 17 games, with the Rockets 9-8 SU and ATS in those games.

For just the fourth time in that span, Durant will miss a game against the Rockets. In the previous three games, the Warriors are 3-0 SU and ATS and as the Warriors always do, they beat the Rockets in the third quarter in all three games. — Evan Abrams

In the Durant-to-Golden State era, the under is 12-5 (70.6%) in Warriors-Rockets games, going under the total by 6.3 points per game. The under has cashed in nine of their past 11 games, with one of the two games that went over the total, doing so in overtime. — Abrams

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