NBA Betting Tip: Will the Well-Rested Warriors Have an NBA Finals Advantage?

May 30, 2019 01:30 AM EDT
Credit:

Thomas B. Shea-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Golden State Warriors guards Sahun Livingston (left), Stephen Curry (right).

  • The Golden State Warriors had 10 days to prepare for the NBA Finals.
  • Using Bet Labs, we analyze how well-rested NBA teams perform against the spread.

The Golden State Warriors are making a fifth consecutive trip to the NBA Finals after sweeping the Portland Trail Blazers over a week ago. Between their Game 4 win over the Blazers and Game 1 of the NBA Finals, the Warriors will have had 10 days of rest between games.

That rest was sorely needed as Kevin Durant, DeMarcus Cousins and Andre Iguodala are dealing with injuries, but rust could certainly become an issue. Without steady action the shooters could get out of rhythm, causing the top-scoring offense this postseason (117.3 ppg) to stagnate.

According to Bet Labs, playoff teams with four or more days between games have gone 164-155-1 (51.4%) against the spread (ATS) since 2005. That isn’t much of an edge.

But we know that rest is important, especially in the playoffs after teams have already played an 82-game schedule. If this is true, which teams would benefit the most from additional days off?

There is a sharp home-road split among well-rested squads: