NBA First Basket Prop Pick: Bet Jaylen Brown, Derrick White in Celtics vs. Pistons (February 6)

NBA First Basket will break down some of his favorite NBA plays of the day here, and will track all his bets in The Action Network app.

Celtics vs.

Pistons

NBA First Basket Prop Pick: Jaylen Brown, Derrick White

The Detroit Pistons will host the Boston Celtics on Monday evening. Jalen Duren (33% opening tip win rate) will be facing off against Robert Williams III (91% win rate) on the opening tip-off. I fully expect the Celtics to control the tip and grab the opening possession.

The Celtics have scored first in 47% of games this season while the Pistons have scored first in just 37% of games. The Pistons allow opposing shooting guards to score the first field goal in 26% of games (fourth-highest rate in the league). Over the past 20 games, the opposing shooting guard has scored first in 40% of games.

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Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum or Al Horford combine to take the first shot for the Celtics in 82% of games started. Tatum has cashed the most first basket tickets for the Celtics, but Brown has actually made the first team field goal most often.

Marcus Smart has been out of the lineup with an injury for a couple of weeks, causing Derrick White to shift to point guard. White's usage in early possessions has increased by 60% over that time span.

Due to the significant tip advantage for the Celtics, I'm willing to risk a bit more than one unit on this matchup tonight. The Pistons foul in early possessions more frequently than most teams, so I'm taking my plays on FanDuel tonight, where free throws are included in first basket bets.

Pick: Jaylen Brown +410, 1 unit (play down to +325)

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Pick: Derrick White +1400 0.25 units (play down to +1100)

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Celtics vs. Pistons First Basket Prop Data

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