Moore: Which 2019-20 NBA MVP Betting Odds Are Offering Most Value?

Credit:

Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34).

Oct 21, 2019, 12:01 PM EDT
  • The 2019-20 NBA MVP race currently features Giannis Antetokounmpo, Stephen Curry, Anthony Davis and James Harden as the betting odds favorites.
  • Matt Moore (@HPBasketball) runs through all of the realistic candidates and puts together his favorite MVP betting portfolio.

The NBA season is right around the corner, which means this is when you can get the best value on NBA MVP bets. It’s also when there’s the most risk, of course; we know the least.

The two leaders going into last season were Giannis Antetokounmpo and Anthony Davis, and boy did those paths separate.

Davis and Antetokounmpo were even at +400 last preseason, while James Harden, who very nearly took it, was +650.


Odds as of Thursday. Check out PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).


I’m not a fan of getting in on one player this early. You’ll have the opportunity to hedge or double-down later when the race clarifies. Now you want to use the good odds to your advantage.

So let’s build a three-player position, taking from three distinct categories: the favorites, the darkhorses and the longshots. You should go heavier, obviously, on the favorites, with lighter positions on the darkhorses and the long shots.

The Favorites

Giannis Antetokounmpo (+275, DraftKings)

The reigning MVP is set to only get better. Antetokounmpo dabbled in his 3-ball last season, and of course there’s a possibility he expands it. If he does, that might be a wrap given his defensive and athletic advantages. The Bucks had the best offense in the league last season, along with the best record.

I’m hesitant, though, on Antetokounmpo, because I’m not certain the Bucks will repeat last year’s success. Win 50 games? Absolutely. Best record in the league? In the conference? Those are more up in the air, and I’m expecting some regression from Milwaukee. Those little chips at his resume could have big impacts on the vote, especially with how unstable the new landscape is.

Steph Curry (+600, Westgate)

I made the case for Curry last month; you can read more here. However, preseason has cooled me a little bit. Curry popped off for 40 vs. the Wolves the other night in just 25 minutes.

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