Raybon’s Favorite NBA Prop for Monday: Will Al-Farouq Aminu Drop 7 Points?

Raybon’s Favorite NBA Prop for Monday: Will Al-Farouq Aminu Drop 7 Points? article feature image
Credit:

Credit: Craig Mitchelldyer-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Portland Trail Blazers forward Al-Farouq Aminu (8)

  • Chris Raybon sees value on one NBA player prop in particular for Game 4 of Blazers-Warriors on Monday night.
  • He breaks down how he is betting the points prop for Blazers PF Al-Farouq Aminu.

The player prop highlighted below is for Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals on Monday night:

  • Golden State Warriors at Portland Trail Blazers: 9 p.m. ET (ESPN)

As a reminder, our FantasyLabs NBA Player Props Tool leverages our projections against odds offered at various sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of 1 to 10. All odds as of 3:30 p.m. ET. View live odds here.

Blazers PF Al-Farouq Aminu

THE PICK: Under 6.5 Points (-115)

Aminu’s playing time has dwindled as of late with Blazers coach Terry Stotts looking to get more offensive firepower on the floor than Chief is capable of providing. After playing just seven minutes in Game 7 against Denver in Round 2, Aminu hasn’t cracked 20 minutes in any of the three games of this series and played a series-low 12 minutes in Game 3.

Aminu is averaging 7.9 points in 25.9 minutes this postseason, but given his recent playing-time trends, our NBA Player Models have him projected for 4.5 points in 16.5 minutes tonight, earning this prop a perfect 10 rating in bet quality from our props tool.

Aminu has scored fewer than seven points in four of his last six games, which is the same expectation you’d get by adjusting his overall postseason rate by projected playing time in Game 4, so the under should have value up to -200.

I usually throw a few more prop picks in the Action Network App throughout the night as I do more research and lineup news trickles in, so be sure to follow me there.