Wednesday’s Best NBA Player Props: Betting Pascal Siakam Rebounds, More
Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA Today Sports, Pictured: Pascal Siakam
- Wednesday's eight-game slate features three NBA player props offering value.
- This piece will focus on Raptors F Pascal Siakam, Grizzles PF JaMychal Green and Mavericks SG Wesley Matthews.
Wednesday’s best NBA player props focus on three of the slate’s eight games:
- Toronto Raptors at Boston Celtics: 8 p.m. ET on ESPN
- Milwaukee Bucks at Memphis Grizzlies: 8 p.m. ET
- San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks: 8:30 p.m. ET
As a reminder, you can dig deeper on these and many other prop bets by using our FantasyLabs NBA Player Props Tool. It leverages our projections against five of the most popular online sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of one to 10.
Raptors PF Pascal Siakam
The Pick: Over 6.5 rebounds (-150 at Bovada)
Siakam has been a revelation for the Raptors this season, transforming from a relative unknown to one of their most important players.
He’s currently projected for 34.5 minutes in our FantasyLabs NBA Models and has averaged 8.0 rebounds per 36 minutes this season, so this line is simply too low. He’s also increased his rebound rate with Jonas Valanciunas off the court and has grabbed at least nine rebounds in each of his past three games.
This line is already juiced up pretty high, but it still looks like one of the best values of the day: It’s currently the highest-rated prop in our props tool.
I like the over up to -180.
Grizzlies PF JaMychal Green
The Pick: Under 10.5 points (-115 at Bovada)
I won on the under on Green’ rebounding prop in the Grizzlies’ most recent game, and I like the under on his scoring prop on Wednesday for a lot of the same reasons.
Green has seen a big reduction in playing time recently, seeing 24.6 or fewer minutes in three of his past four games. He’s still managed to score the ball well over that time frame, averaging 15.25 points per game, but he’s shot a ridiculous 63.9% from the field and 50.0% from 3-point range. That has caused his scoring prop to become inflated, which makes this a great opportunity to sell high.
Green is far from a prolific scorer, so I like his chances of scoring 10 or fewer points given his current role in the rotation. I’d play the under up to -145.
Mavericks SG Wesley Matthews
The Pick: Under 11.5 points (-115 at Bovada)
Matthews is another player whose role appears to be dwindling. He’s played 23.5 or fewer minutes in each of his past two games, despite the fact that starting PG Dennis Smith Jr. has been unavailable for both.
Matthews has scored 11 or fewer points in five of his past seven games and has a tough matchup against the Spurs, who have been much improved defensively over their past 18 games, allowing just 105.6 points per 100 possessions.
Matthews would have to have a hot shooting night to hit the over on his current prop, and I feel pretty comfortable betting against that.
I like the under up to -135.