NBA Sharp Report: Wiseguys All Over Tuesday’s Small NBA Slate
Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: T.J. Warren and Karl-Anthony Towns
- There may only be four games on tap in the NBA tonight, but sharp action has been aplenty.
- In fact, today's Sharp Report features more bets (six) than the actual number of matchups.
- Sports Insights' Bet Signals reveal how pros are betting the small slate.
At first glance, tonight’s NBA slate doesn’t exactly scream excitement. It features only four games, just one of which includes two teams near the top of the standings.
As for sharp action, however, I personally can’t recall ever seeing this much on such a small slate. In fact, today’s Sharp Report features more plays (six) than the actual number of games on tonight’s slate.
Starting with Kings-Raptors at 7 p.m. ET, here are the plays drawing the most action from pros tonight.
>> All odds as of 2 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NBA odds and track your bets.
Sacramento Kings @ Toronto Raptors
7 p.m. ET | NBCS-CA
Sharp angles: Kings (moved from +11 to +9.5), Over (moved from 227 to 229.5)
This spread provides a perfect example of why it’s always important to examine the full line history when breaking down a game.
The Raptors are the most popular play of the night, drawing 73% of bettors. That initially moved this line to -10.5 or -11, which is when sharps decided to step in.
They triggered three Sports Insights Bet Signals — indications of market-wide line movement cause by sharp action — on Toronto to bring this line to 9.5.
Wiseguys have also taken a liking to the over. While not as contrarian, the 48% of bets on the over have generated 87% of actual dollars. That means bigger bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps — are behind the over.
Portland Trail Blazers @ Oklahoma City Thunder
8 p.m. ET | NBA TV
Sharp angles: Trail Blazers (moved from +6 to +5), Under (moved from 229 to 226.5)
Similar to the Kings, the Blazers saw an early line move against them thanks to public bettors. With two-thirds of bets landing on Oklahoma City, the spread moved from OKC -5.5 to OKC -6, which is when wiseguys made their move.
Three SI Bet Signals have hit the Blazers, whose 33% backing has accounted for an impressive 72% of dollars wagered.
The total has also seen a significant drop as pros have been hammering the under. While 59% of bets are expecting this game to go over its total, the number has fallen from 229 to 226.5.
Two Bet Signals have hit the under, confirming that sharps are responsible for the move.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Phoenix Suns
9 p.m. ET | FS-N
Sharp angles: Suns (moved from +6 to +5), Over (moved from 228.5 to 231)
Unlike some of the other sharp spots today, the plays on this game both seem to match up with public opinion.
The Suns have drawn 59% of bets tonight, which by itself probably wouldn’t cause a full-point line move. Instead, it’s been sharps among that 59% who have caused oddsmakers to rethink this spread.
Four SI Bet Signals have hit the Suns — more than any other team today — who’ve also generated a higher percentage of money (68%) than bets, once again indicating they’ve been attracting the bigger, sharper bettors.
Those same sharp bettors seem to be hitting the over, which has moved from 228.5 to 231, making it the highest total on tonight’s slate.
Sixty-one percent of bets have landed on the over, which has accounted for 87% of actual dollars. Two Bet Signals have also helped to confirm the professional action.