2020-21 NBA Win Total Odds: Expectations Tempered for Houston Rockets Amid James Harden Saga
Michael Reaves/Getty Images. Pictured: James Harden, Houston Rockets
2021 NBA Win Total Odds
Dec. 14 Update: It’s only been three weeks since our last update, but there’s plenty of notable movement days ahead of the start of the NBA season.
The Rockets, originally off the board, opened up at 34.5 after trading Russell Westbrook to the Wizards for John Wall and a draft pick. That same trade bumped the Wizards from 28.5 wins to 33.5.
The Bucks stayed on top but did see a half-game bump to 49.5. The rest of the top remained status quo until getting to the Mavericks. Dallas jumped from 41 to 42.5.
Memphis saw a two-game jump from 30 to 32 wins as excitement builds around Ja Morant’s second season. Near that same tier, the Hawks and Pelicans flipped spots. Atlanta is up to 35.5 from 34; New Orleans and Zion Williamson dropped to 34 from 35.5.
The biggest drop is with the Oklahoma City. The Thunder are now at a win total of 21, down from 26. That coincides with a starting lineup of George Hill and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at guard and future protected draft pick at forward.
Nov. 23 Update: Now that the NBA Draft, the frenzied trade period and the peak of free agency are in the rearview mirror, the 2019-20 season is over.
With the the 2020-21 season about one month away we can focus solely on the start of the regular season and what better way to do that than dig into some win totals.
There’s still a lot we don’t know about how next season will look, but we know for sure teams will be playing a 72-game schedule (barring any unforeseen setbacks).
PointsBet has released its opening win totals for the upcoming season and the Milwaukee Bucks are once again at the top of the list. Oddsmakers have the Bucks listed at 49 wins, with the reigning champion Los Angeles Lakers sitting one spot behind at 48 wins.
For context, the Bucks opened with a 55.5 win total last season, which translates to a .676 winning percentage over a 82 games. That win percentage over 72 games figures out to 48.7 wins, so their expectations are essentially the same.
The Lakers, on the other hand, are expected to be better than their championship season based on their win totals. Last season they opened at 51.5 wins (.628 win pct), but their current odds suggest they would be in the 54.5 range over a normal 82 game season.
The Cavs, Knicks and Pistons have the lowest totals, while the Houston Rockets are off the board because of all the uncertainty around their future with stars James Harden and Russell Westbrook.