Dallas Mavericks Odds

Dallas Mavericks Odds & Betting Guide: 2026-27 Season

Where the Mavericks stand

Dallas went 26-56 in 2025-26, finished 12th in the West, missed the play-in and fell 15.5 wins short of its 41.5-win total. Kyrie Irving never played after tearing his ACL in March 2025, Dereck Lively II lasted seven games before foot surgery, and the front office traded Anthony Davis to Washington in February.

The rebuild runs through Cooper Flagg, who won Rookie of the Year with 21.0 points, 6.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists in 70 games. Ownership hired Masai Ujiri as team president, with Mike Schmitz as general manager, and the club parted ways with Jason Kidd in May. Dusty May takes over after winning a national title at Michigan.

On the roster, Dallas traded for Santi Aldama and Zaccharie Risacher, drafted Morez Johnson Jr. ninth overall, and waived Klay Thompson.

Availability will drive these lines. Irving entered camp without restrictions but expects back-to-back talks with the medical staff, and Lively had not been cleared for camp in late September. Check live NBA odds against the injury report before every Dallas game.

Western Conference and Southwest Division context

Dallas went 4-12 in its 16 division games last season. The San Antonio Spurs won 62 games and reached the Finals, and the Houston Rockets won 52. The New Orleans Pelicans matched Dallas at 26-56, and the Memphis Grizzlies went 25-57.

The league seeds on record alone, so the play-in line matters more than the division title. Golden State took the West's last play-in spot at 37-45, and current win totals put Dallas a couple of wins below that mark.

Mavericks 2026-27 win total

BetMGM lists Dallas at 34.5 wins, -110 on both sides. FanDuel posted 35.5 in July, then dropped to 32.5 by mid-August and shaded the over to -120 with the under at -105. That juice shows where money landed, not which side is right, and a two-win gap between books makes shopping worth it.

The Mavericks angle: Charlotte owns Dallas' 2027 first-round pick, protected only in the top two. Dallas has almost no reason to sit healthy players in March, which removes the late fade that sinks many rebuilding overs. The schedule tests that with a five-game road trip from March 17 to 24 at Oklahoma City, San Antonio, both Los Angeles teams and Minnesota, right inside the play-in race.

Mavericks 2026-27 futures odds

DraftKings has Dallas at +18000 to win the NBA Finals and +4000 in the Southwest, behind the Spurs at -1200 and the Rockets at +700. Caesars lists Flagg at +15000 for MVP and Irving at +25000. The 65-game threshold shapes both: Flagg cleared it as a rookie, while Irving played 50 games in 2024-25 and may sit some back-to-backs.

The rest of the NBA futures board includes NBA Cup markets. Dallas plays West Group A games at home against Houston and Utah and on the road at Denver and Phoenix, and all four count in the standings.

Betting Mavericks point spreads

Books set a point spread to turn an uneven matchup into a roughly even bet. The favorite gives points, the underdog takes them.

• Dallas -6.5 (-110) / Memphis +6.5 (-110)

Dallas covers by winning the game by seven or more. Memphis covers by winning outright or losing by six or fewer. The half-point means neither side can push.

A winning $100 bet at -110 returns $190.91: the $100 stake plus $90.91 in profit. A losing bet returns nothing. Both sides here are priced at -110, and that is where the book earns. You risk $110 to win $100 whichever side you take.

When books post a whole number instead, a game decided by exactly that margin pushes and both sides get their stake back.

Dallas went 35-46-1 against the spread last season, slightly better at home than away. Track this season in the ATS standings.

The Mavericks angle: Dallas plays 16 back-to-backs, and nine second nights come on the road. The worst stretch starts Nov. 21: Dallas hosts the Clippers, plays at Utah the next night and visits Denver on Nov. 24, two altitude games in three nights. An Irving rest night moves the number, and our projections note a line can swing six or seven points when a star sits. The model recommends at least a +3.5% edge or a grade of B before betting a side on projections alone.

Betting Mavericks totals

Books set a total for the combined points both teams score, then let bettors take a side.

Say books post Dallas vs. New Orleans at 226.5. The over cashes if the two teams combine for 227 or more. The under cashes at 226 or fewer. A half-point total cannot push.

NBA totals follow pace. Two fast teams produce more possessions and more scoring chances, and that matters more to the number than either team's shooting percentage.

Why Mavericks totals move: Dallas games went over 38 times and under 44 times last season, with an offense that ranked 27th. May wants this roster running in transition, and Irving adds the shot creation Dallas lacked. Compare each number with the nightly expert picks, and when one side carries heavier juice, check the splits below to see whose money caused it.

Betting the Mavericks moneyline

The moneyline asks one question: who wins. Points do not matter.

• Dallas -240 / Sacramento +200

Minus marks the favorite, plus the underdog. At -240 you risk $240 to win $100. At +200 you risk $100 to win $200.

Converting to implied probability makes the pricing clearer. The -240 favorite implies 70.6%. The +200 underdog implies 33.3%. Those sum to 103.9%, not 100%. The extra 3.9 points are the book's margin, and the book collects it whichever side wins.

One thing worth getting straight: a short price is not automatically a bad bet. Bettors call heavy favorites bad value out of habit, but if Dallas wins this matchup 75% of the time, -240 is a price worth taking, because it only implies 70.6%. Value is the gap between real probability and priced probability. The size of the number tells you nothing on its own.

When one side carries heavier juice than the other, that tells you where money is landing, not which side is correct. If Dallas drifts from -240 to -270, bettors backed Dallas and the book adjusted its exposure. The team did not become more likely to win.

The betting odds calculator converts any Mavericks price to implied probability.

You can compare features, trading odds, and welcome offers for top prediction markets on our Kalshi vs Polymarket page.

Mavericks player props

A player prop prices one player's production in one game.

• Cooper Flagg points: 24.5 (over -115, under -105)

The over needs 25 points. The under needs 24 or fewer.

NBA props respond to availability more than anything else. When a teammate is ruled out, his minutes and shots move to the players still on the floor, and books adjust within minutes of the news. Check the injury report before betting a prop, and check the book's rules for a player who does not play, because they differ between books.

Flagg led Dallas in scoring as a rookie. Irving's rest nights are the trigger to watch, because Flagg's points and assists lines rise when he sits. Lively's absence keeps Daniel Gafford's rebound lines relevant early. Compare the NBA player props board with our prop model before you bet.

Mavericks public betting splits

Splits break ticket count out from money handled, and the gap is the useful part. If 70% of tickets sit on the over but only 45% of the dollars do, the larger bets are on the under.

Brand-premium opponents create the gap in Dallas games. The Lakers visit on Feb. 28 on ABC and the Knicks on March 4 on Prime Video, two of 21 Dallas national TV dates, and both draw recreational tickets toward the visitor. When the ticket and money percentages split hard in those spots, the larger wagers are the signal.

Prediction markets

Prediction markets list contracts on outcomes such as the NBA Finals. A contract settles at $1 if the outcome happens and at zero if it does not, so its price in cents reads as a percentage chance, and traders can sell a position before settlement.

New Polymarket users can find the current sign-up offer on our Polymarket promo code page.