NBA Odds & Picks for Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: PRO Systems Backing Damian Lillard & Portland To Cover (May 29)
Rocky Widner/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Damian Lillard #0 of the Portland Trail Blazers.
NBA Odds: Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers
| Nuggets Odds | +5 |
| Trail Blazers Odds | -5 |
| Over/Under | 227.5 |
| Time | Channel | 4:00 p.m. ET | TNT |
Game 4 of the Nuggets-Trail Blazers series will be a fun one, simply because this series has provided so many surprising moments. Game 3 saw recent Denver pickup Austin Rivers go off for 21 points including a flurry of 3-pointers in the fourth quarter.
Rivers is close to the last person you would expect to help lead Denver to a pivotal playoff victory, and moments like this are what have made the 2021 postseason so uniquely exciting.
Austin Rivers went OFF in the 4th quarter 😳
Rivers over 8.5 PTS ✅
Rivers over 1.5 three pointers made ✅ pic.twitter.com/HtZSCOGnkK— NBABet (@nbabet) May 28, 2021
But as exciting as Rivers' scoring outburst was, it is obviously unlikely that Michael Malone and Co. get another one of those games from him. And we've seen in this series that even with Nikola Jokic piling up points, Portland can pull off a win.
It's the contributions of the Denver role players that have sunk the Trail Blazers.
But Damian Lillard has consistently been too good for the Denver defense. With Lillard putting up 37.7 points per game (PPG) against the Nuggets, there is little reason to believe Malone will find a way to slow him down.
DAME FOR THE OVER ✅
What a comeback for over (227) bettors 😲
The under had an 82 percent chance to hit with 2:42 to go according to @ActionNetworkHQ… pic.twitter.com/2apmUQf4XJ
— NBABet (@nbabet) May 28, 2021
The line for Nuggets-Trail Blazers started at -3.5 and then was swiftly pushed up as money started to come in on Portland.
Our latest PRO Report shows that while Denver looked solid on the road in Game 3, there is strong reason to believe Lillard and Co. can cover back at the Moda Center for Game 4.
NBA Picks: Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers
Sharp Action
The line for Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers opened up at Trail Blazers -3.5 before it was pushed up to -5 ahead of Saturday night.
Since Friday, there have been six Action Labs Bet Signals that have been triggered on the Trail Blazers. This is a big indicator of the sharp action moving the spread for Game 4.
PRO Systems
Saturday's Trail Blazers-Nuggets Game 4 fits neatly into The Action Network's "NBA Playoffs: More Money on Favorites PRO System," which has a 61% win rate and an 18% Return On Investment (ROI).
PRO Report Pick: Trail Blazers -5 (+100 at PointsBet)
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