Thunder vs. Trail Blazers Game 1 Betting Preview: Value on OKC as a Road Dog?

Apr 14, 2019 03:00 PM EDT

Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Portland Trail Blazers guard Damian Lillard (0).

Game 1 Betting Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers

  • Spread: Trail Blazers -3.5
  • Over/Under: 225.5
  • Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ABC/ESPN

>> All odds as of noon ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and live win probabilities on your bets.

The higher-seeded Blazers are underdogs in the series but currently 3.5-point favorites in Game 1 over the Thunder. Is there value on the underdog? Our analysts dive in.

Betting Trends to Know

No. 3 seeds are 75-82-4 (47.8%) ATS in the first series of the playoffs since 2005 and have struggled against division opponents, going 15-25-2 (37.5%) ATS. — John Ewing

More than 60% of spread tickets are on OKC. Since 2005, it has been profitable to bet contrarian favorites like the Blazers in the playoffs. Favorites receiving 45% or fewer of the bets have gone 162-124-9 (57%) ATS in the postseason. — Ewing

Thunder faced the Blazers four times this season, going 4-0 straight up and against the spread, covering the spread by 5.5 points per game. — Evan Abrams

Mears: How I’m Handicapping This Game

This line of Blazers -3.5 suggests they’re slightly better than the Thunder (or even if you think home court is worth 3.5 points) on a neutral court. I’m just not sure why that would be the case, for two reasons.