Sunday College Basketball Odds & Picks for Tennessee vs. Florida and Delaware vs. Hofstra (March 7)
Wesley Hitt/Getty Images. Pictured: Tennessee Volunteers guard Josiah-Jordan James (5).
- The Colonial Athletic Association (CAA) Tournament features an 11 a.m. ET tipoff between Delaware and Hofstra, which offers a perfect opportunity to seize betting value before we even hit the lunch hour.
- In addition to Delaware vs. Hofstra, our NCAAB staff has also identified value with Tennessee vs. Florida, which tips off at 12 p.m. ET.
- Below, find updated odds and comprehensive breakdowns for both of our favorite morning betting picks.
To quote Meek Mill from “Dreams and Nightmares,”
Hold up, wait a minute (Minute),
Y’all thought I was finished? (Whoa)
Saturday’s mega-slate may have come and gone, but the college basketball betting grind simply does. not. stop. It may be Sunday morning, but we’ve got college hoops action on deck from 11 a.m. ET all the way until 2 a.m. ET.
And now, one more lyrical reference as a final segue before we deliver the goods:
Champagne with breakfast while I’m yawning,
You can’t drink all day if you don’t start in the morning.
— Drake, “Signs”
Well said, Mr. Graham. Considering that one cannot “drink all day” without starting in the morning, then it stands to reason that one cannot “bet all day” without doing the same.
Below, you’ll find our two favorite Sunday morning college basketball bets to throw on your card before noon ET.
College Basketball Odds & Picks
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Note: All photos below are via Getty Images.
CAA Tournament: Delaware vs. Hofstra
By Pat McMahon
The CAA tournament is heating up with the quarterfinal games taking place Sunday. The action gets started bright and early with an 11 a.m. ET tip between No. 4 seed Hofstra and No. 5 seed Delaware.
Both teams are coming off of long COVID-19-related pauses, so I think we’re in for an ugly one. Delaware is dreadful on the offense end, ranking 263rd in adjusted offensive efficiency, per KenPom. Delaware is also one of the slower teams in the nation, ranking 275th in adjusted tempo.
The Blue Hens are coming off the longest layoff of any CAA team, not having played since Jan. 31. Odds are they’ll look a little rusty, so controlling the tempo will be crucial for them to hang around. With the third-best adjusted defensive efficiency and second-best defensive rebounding rate in the conference, they should be able to play their way and slow things down.
Hofstra has one of the better offenses in the league, but it could be a little rusty as well. The Pride haven’t taken the court in three weeks — since their loss at James Madison on Feb. 14. Delaware leads the CAA in opponent effective field goal percentage, which will be a major asset in defending Hofstra’s big three of Jalen Ray, Tareq Coburn, and Isaac Kante.
The Pride and Blue Hens met twice in the regular season, with both final scores landing in the low 130s. With each team coming off a long layoff, there’s no reason for the total to be this high. I love this under at 139.5, and would play it down to 137.
Pick: Under 139.5 | Play down to 137
Florida vs. Tennessee
The Florida Gators are going for the season sweep against the Tennessee Volunteers on Sunday afternoon. Back in January, the Gators dominated the Volunteers — who were ranked sixth nationally at the time — by a score of 75-49.
Offensively, Tennessee is one of the most well-rounded teams in the country. The Vols have seven players who average 8.0 or more points per game. In the first matchup, only one Tennessee player scored in double digits, and the Volunteers shot horribly as a team, hitting only 29.3% from the field.
Tennessee thrives on its sixth-ranked defense, which allows just 88.0 points per every 100 possessions. That per-possession rate translates to only 63.1 points allowed per game, which ranks 25th in the nation.
The difference-maker in this game is going to be the turnover battle. Tennessee ranks first in the conference in turnover percentage, forcing turnovers on 22.4% of its defensive possessions. Meanwhile, Florida ranks 252nd in offensive turnover percentage.
I’m laying the points with the Volunteers at home. Tennessee will come out looking to avenge its loss back in January and will flex that sixth-ranked defense in this one.
Pick: Tennessee -4.5