CBB Sharp Report: Pros Hitting Washington-Arizona State, 2 Other Saturday Games
Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Remy Martin
- Saturday's college basketball slate has drawn sharp bettors to a few games in particular, including Florida-Tennessee and Arizona State-Washington.
- Sports Insights' Bet Signals help reveal which way the smart money is going.
While Duke-Virginia steals all the headlines on a busy college basketball Saturday, sharps are looking elsewhere for value.
They’ve found three games in particular that present value on the point spread, and on two occasions, have turned an underdog into a favorite.
Capped off with Washington-Arizona State at 10 p.m. ET (ESPN), here are the three matchups attracting the most smart money Saturday.
>> All odds as of 11:45 a.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time college basketball odds and track your bets.
Milwaukee @ Cleveland State
3 p.m. ET | ESPN+
Sharp angle: Cleveland State (moved from +1 to -1.5)
On a slate littered with marquee matchups, this probably isn’t the game that caught your eye initially. That’s no concern to sharps, however. If a matchup presents value they’ll bet it, no matter if it’s in the ACC or the Horizon League.
Only 41% of bettors are backing Cleveland State this afternoon, which is probably to be expected given its worse record (6-19 vs. 9-15). Still, the Vikings have jumped the fence from a dog to a favorite thanks to their sharp backing.
The 41% of bets on Cleveland State have generated nearly all of the money (99%) being wagered on the game.
I’d expect that number to drop a bit as more bets hit this game approaching tip off, but the point remains that bigger bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps — are clearly on the home side.
Per Sports Insights’ Bet Signals, sharps have caused three market shifts by hitting the Vikes at +1 and twice more at a pick’em, producing the current number.
Florida @ Tennessee
4 p.m. ET | ESPN
Sharp angle: Florida (moved from +11.5 to +11)
Any time you find the number one ranked team in the country listed on a sharp report, you’d probably be correct in assuming that wiseguys are on the other side.
That’s the case again today, as professional action has moved this line down despite a hefty public backing of Tennessee.
Seventy-five percent of bets, to be exact, have landed on the Vols in what should close as one of the more heavily bet games today, making the line move away from the public side all the more significant.
And for what it’s worth, coming off a 76-62 loss to Auburn actually puts the Gators in a historically profitable spot:
Washington @ Arizona State
10 p.m. ET | ESPN
Sharp angle: Arizona State (moved from +1.5 to -1)
Minus the “State,” this is almost an exact replica of Thursday’s Washington-Arizona matchup — at least from a market perspective.
Just as Arizona did, ASU opened as a 1.5-point dog at home. And just as they did on Thursday, sharps quickly changed that, moving the Devils to -1.
Getting 46% of bets, Arizona State isn’t quite the contrarian spot that often tends to show up on a sharp card, but that’s not to say it hasn’t attracted a heavy share of professional money.
Five Sports Insights Bet Signals — more than any other team today — have hit the Devils at numbers ranging from +1.5 to -1, causing the line move.
With plenty of time remaining until tip, it’s certainly possible that this line could find its way to -1.5, which would match Thursday’s Washington-Arizona closing number.